NHL DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 3/11/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NHL Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

Centers:

Sean Monahan (11700/6800/5700) – The place I’m going to start tonight is with the Calgary/Winnipeg because this one could be all you need for your fantasy lineups. We are talking about two teams that can give it up as much as they can dish it out, and that can make fantasy production easy to predict. I love the upside for Monahan tonight, and he’s going to be one of the guys I will start with when putting my lineups together.

Evgeni Malkin (16200/8900/7800) – I’m writing this at 7:10 on Friday night, so I have no idea what is going to happen in the Pittsburgh/Edmonton game, but I still like Malkin a lot tonight. The Canucks are bad regardless of whether or not they are at home or on the road. Malkin is my preference when they are on the the road, and that’s where we find them tonight. He’s costly, but he’s got great upside.

Brandon Dubinsky (10300/5300/4900) – Columbus just broke my heart by letting Buffalo get on the score board against them on home ice tonight, but outside of that, I am willing to go back to the well with them again. Who do they play, you say? Well the Buffalo Sabres! It’s a home and away back to back set, which is always fun. While my exposure was heavy on Columbus 1 last night, I will shift to the second line tonight. Dubinsky could be in for a nice game, so he’s on my list.

John Tavares (14700/8200/7100) – If you haven’t seen a pattern developing in how the first three picks have gone, it’s been pretty simple: line 1 at home, line 2 on the road. Well here is a situation where I feel comfortable with line 1 on the road. The Blues are a team that I could see getting lit up tonight, and Tavares is basically the only guy I trust on the Islanders. He’ll cost you a bit, but he’s got some pretty strong upside.

Wings –

Mike Hoffman (12600/6700/6100) – Mike Hoffman was someone who I thought was going to do better in the last matchup against the Coyotes, but it just didn’t pan out. Here we are again tonight with him in another good situation. Colorado is much worse on the road, but we won’t pretend like they are a good team on home ice either. Hoffman should see plenty of chances to score tonight, and do it at a nice price.

Alex Ovechkin (17000/8100/8200) – Ovechkin against the Kings on the road could be fun. He’s been really cold over the last few weeks to maybe even a month, but we really don’t care what his prospects have been; we want to know what they are going to be tonight. He’s got upside like few others, and even though his price hasn’t really come down all that much, I don’t mind a few shares in tournaments. He could be in for a big game.

Taylor Hall (12600/6500/6100) – I really struggled to decide if I wanted to go this route tonight or not. The Devils are well known to be a horrible road team, but they are playing the Avalanche. Do those two things cancel the other out? My thoughts are that if I want to have anyone on the Devils, it’s going to be the guy who I think could end up having the biggest impact. That is without question Taylor Hall. Regardless of whether he is at home or on the road, Hall is someone I’ll always consider in a good matchup.

Valentin Zykov (5600/3300/2800) – Who? Exactly. If you have read my breakdowns before, you’ll know that I’m not adverse to going with young guys in their early games. Zykov scored a goal in his first NHL game, and this time around, gets an even better matchup against Toronto at home. Did I mention he’s on the top line? While it’s unlikely he’ll get power play time, he should still be worth a look playing on the teams top line.

 

Defensemen –

Mark Giordano (10500/5800/5100) – Let’s start things out tonight with Giordano. I really wanted to go with Michael Stone here, but it looks like he’s suffered some sort of injury and might not play. We know all about Giordano, and he certainly has been a high ceiling player. Unfortunately this year, his floor has dropped a little more than I would like. Nonetheless, in tournaments, he is someone I think you want to have in your lineups.

David Savard (6900/3700/3500) – Savard is playing really good hockey right now, capped off by scoring a goal in last nights game. The first quarter of that game isn’t over yet, so who knows how he’ll finish. I love the idea of using him on a larger slate because I’m confident his ownership percentage will be far lower than it should be. I wont hesitate to load up on him again tonight and I think it will be a winning strategy.

Justin Schutlz (11300/6400/5500) – Speaking of guys who are just playing really well right now, it seems wrong to not talk about Justin Schultz in that breath. He’s been so good since Kris Letang went down [again], and even though he is carrying a heavy price tag, he could be worth it. The matchup against the Canucks might be even better than the one against Edmonton, so I’ll want a large amount of Schultz tonight.

Justin Faulk (12000/4800/5900) – Faulk fits the mold of how I feel about Giordano right now: high ceiling, but not the greatest floor. This is an excellent matchup, though, so it makes sense to have some exposure to him. It is likely that I will have a lot of both sides of this game, but something about Faulk sticks out to me tonight. Don’t hesitate to lock him in and he could very well reward you with a nice return.

Goalies –

Pittsburgh Goalie – It isn’t often that I go with a road goalie, but the Penguins are just such a better team than the Canucks. The best news is that my arch-nemesis, Marc-Andre Fleury, started Friday, so we will get the much better Matt Murray on Saturday. That is how I am going in cash games.

Ottawa Goalie – It hasn’t occurred all year that I’ve used two away goalies in my lineups, but here we are. Colorado is another team that is just really bad, and the Senators are a potent offense. As a result, I expect them to score more goals than the Avalanche, and thus their goalie should get the win.

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