Each week, we will take a look at the largest risers and fallers in Mock Draft ADP. This gives you a good understanding of who you can get at a value, and who you may have to spend more than you would like for. This will be updated until the start of the season on a weekly basis.
Breshad Perriman – WR – Baltimore Ravens, +50
There was a big concern in Baltimore that Perriman tore his ACL when his injury occurred. Thankfully, he avoided that and should be able to return during camp. This pushed his mock draft position up by a full 50 points. He is being chosen in the late rounds. In a 12 team draft, he is being taken in the 12th round. He is an interesting pick at the spot, considering his could end up as the top receiver on this team, with Steve Smith aging and coming off serious injury himself.
C.J. Prosise – RB – Seattle Seahawks, +48
There are a few things to like about Prosise coming into the 2016 season. Marshawn Lynch is gone, at least for now, and that leaves the backfield up in the air. While it is almost certain that Thomas Rawls will have first crack at the job, Prosise will certainly see time as well. He will be the third down back for a team that is going to run the ball a lot. Probably more important than that, he is going to be used as a wide receiver as well. For those not familiar with him in college, he played primarily as a receiver at Notre Dame his first two years. The ability to use him in multiple ways makes him a high-end pick you can still get later in drafts.
Will Fuller – WR – Houston Texans, +41
I’m not quite sure why Fuller would go through a jump this high this close to the season. It is possible that it is just a matter of some of the fantasy sites finally having data on his draft position. Fuller is becoming more of a favorite of mine as the season draws closer. He was dynamic at Notre Dame his final two years, and he is going to give the Texans a high end threat opposite DeAndre Hopkins. He should have great production as a rookie.
Kamar Aiken – WR – Baltimore Ravens, -50
Kamar Aiken is a pretty clear cut drop-off candidate. While he is talented, he isn’t as talented as Steve Smith at this point in his career, nor does he have the upside of Perriman. This has caused his stock to drop considerably. Depending on the depth of your league, he could still be a useful play, as I do think he will still end up with a good year, but he doesn’t have the appeal we thought he might have thinking Perriman was out of the picture again.
Davante Adams – WR – Green Bay Packers, -47
Adams was a guy that most of us had high hopes for at the start of the 2015 season. Everything lined up well for him: strong passing offense, fit a need and Jordy Nelson was out for the year. Well, we all know what happened after that. Things went downhill fast. Now, it is being reported that Adams is going to be fighting for a roster spot, and that has caused his draft stock to fall pretty significantly. I would expect him to make the team, but he could have trouble finding meaningful opportunities to contribute.
Wendell Smallwood – RB – Philadelphia Eagles, -47
Smallwood is another interesting situation, where I can’t exactly figure out why a drop off would occur. The one negative about his game has been his college tape. While he has been good between the tackles and as an outlet to catch the ball in short-yardage situations when the QB was under pressure, he was never really asked to do pass protection. This is really the only meaningful information I could come up with. He is in a backfield with Ryan Mathews, Darren Sporles and Kenjon Barner, all who have issues one way or another. He is one of the guys I am really looking at in dynasty leagues, and could be a sneaky late round add in redraft leagues that you can hold and hope he is contributing by the end of the season.