Each week, we will take a look at the largest risers and fallers in Mock Draft ADP. This gives you a good understanding of who you can get at a value, and who you may have to spend more than you would like for. This will be updated until the start of the season on a weekly basis.
James White – RB – New England Patriots, +105
There is absolutely no surprise value here. When the news came out that Dion Lewis was going to miss the first six weeks of the season most likely, James White draft stock took the biggest leap of any player in a one-week span this offseason. The running back in a potent offense like New England’s is going to carry fantasy value, but rest assured with White, it will be short lived. His draft position still basically puts him in the late rounds of 12 team leagues. My biggest issue here is that New England does tend to have a congested backfield, and this year is no different with LeGarrette Blount, Brandon Bolden, Tyler Gaffney and D.J. Foster all contending for roster spots.
Robert Griffin III – QB – Cleveland Browns, +78
Last week, Griffin’s ADP fell 67 spots. This week, he is up 78. Depending on how the game goes tonight, he could be up even more. Griffin is now being drafted just a few spots behind James White, and in two QB leagues, he makes a no brainer late in the draft. I am very high on the Browns offense this year, and I think that Griffin could be used in one QB leagues as well. He’s not going to be a sexy pick, but you are getting him late, and he has upside in an offense that should be playing from behind due to their poor defense.
Christine Michael – RB – Seattle Seahawks, +71
Michael has moved up over 120 spots in the last two weeks. He is making a serious push to be the number one back in Seattle. At the very least, I think he should find himself with a pretty significant share of the work with Rawls. He’s being drafted in the 12th round of 12 team drafts, which is a steal for a guy who plays on a team that is going to run the ball a lot with a running back ahead of him that is coming off an injury. You can do worse on your bench.
Chris Hogan – WR – New England Patriots, -52
This is no surprise to me. If you listed to some of the initial Fantasy Football Universe podcasts, you’ll know that I mentioned that Hogan was one of the most overrated sleeper hype picks this year. He got attention in Buffalo because outside of Sammy Watkins, there was nothing, but that isn’t the case in New England. The team has two good receivers, the best tight end in football and another strong tight end, and a rookie in Malcolm Mitchell that has looked good. Where does that leave Hogan? Well, if you want to win at fantasy football, it’ll leave Hogan undrafted.
Dion Lewis – RB – New England Patriots, -49
I am truly surprised that Lewis didn’t fall more, but I do expect going into next week that we will see another large decline. He could be worth a speculative add in 12 team or more drafts, but there is no guarantee that he will regain to the top spot when he returns if any of the Patriots backs have been playing well. He was easily my top sleeper pick before the injury, but there is no way he’s worth it now. I’ll pick him up if he is on the waiver wire, but not in drafts.
C.J. Prosise – RB – Seattle Seahawks, -40
If anyone loses out on the rise of Christine Michael, it is definitely Prosise. Many had put Prosise in the position that he would be getting a significant portion of the touches in Seattle, but that is in flux right now. In dynasty leagues, it is at least somewhat of a different story, but in standard redraft leagues, I don’t think there is much of a reason to invest in Prosise in the short-term. If something happens to Rawls or Michael, it’s a different story.