Each week, we will take a look at the largest risers and fallers in Mock Draft ADP. This gives you a good understanding of who you can get at a value, and who you may have to spend more than you would like for. This will be updated until the start of the season on a weekly basis.
Bilal Powell – RB – New York Jets, +44
I’m not sure what pushed Powell this far up the list, but no one should be surprised. In fact, I highlighted Powell as one of my top sleepers on the year, so I for one am not at all shocked here. The Jets gave him essentially the same contract as Matt Forte, so I think they plan on making sure he is an active part of the offense. He’s currently being drafted in the tenth round of 12 team leagues, which I think is a fair spot for him. He’s most likely not going to be the top back in this offense, but I do think he is going to end up with a far bigger role than many people have suggested.
Charles Clay – TE – Buffalo Bills, +41
This shouldn’t shock anyone, but let us put this into perspective first: His current ADO is 200, which puts him out of most drafts. If you are in a ten-team league, Clay is likely being left on your bench. If you are in a deeper league, however, I think there is some upside to drafting Clay with one of your last picks. The Bills really don’t have a lot going on in the passing game outside of Sammy Watkins, so Clay should be able to carve a nice role for himself. He’s definitely not in my top ten list, but there are weeks where he should be able to have big outing.
Rishard Matthews – WR – Tennessee Titans, +37
My initial assumption is that this is a result of fantasy players realizing that Rishard Matthews could very well be the best receiver on the team. We haven’t heard rave reviews on Dorial Green-Beckham, who has reported to camp a little overweight. We know the deal with Justin Hunter and Kendall Wright, so it very well could be on Rishard Matthews or rookie Tajae Sharpe to pick up the slack. Much like Clay, Matthews would only be a late, late round option in big leagues. In standard sized leagues, you can afford to watch list him, but keep him on the wire.
Ronnie Hillman – RB – Denver Broncos, -68
Hillman has seen one of our biggest drops on the year so far, and it is not shocking at all. He’s been pretty poor in training camp, and news came out that he is currently on the depth chart as a co-number 2 with rookie Devontae Booker. This team also has Kapri Bibbs, a talented runner who led the team in rushing in the first preseason game. The Denver running back situation is always pretty clouded, and 2016 doesn’t seem to be any different. My typically draft strategy is to stay away from Denver running backs, but it at least looks like C.J. Anderson is emerging as a pretty clear top option.
Kenneth Dixon– RB – Baltimore Ravens, -37
Dixon’s fall has to do with a few different factors. First, he sustained a very small injury in training camp about a week ago. For whatever reason, this caused some what of a freak-out. Second, both Justin Forsett and Terrence West have had very good camps, so there is very real concern about what kind of role Dixon could create for himself with this situation taking place. Dixon looked good in very limited action in the Ravens first preseason game, but he will likely have to vastly outperform Forsett or West to get meaningful snaps early in the year.
Shane Vereen – RB – New York Giants, -37
It seems like just last week that Vereen was one of our biggest risers. Oh, wait, it was in fact last week that we saw him make the second biggest jump on the week. This week, he is back down 37 spots. It has been reported that Rashad Jennings has been very strong in training camp, which most likely caused Vereen’s drop. I still think Vereen is the back to own in New York, especially if this team is going to be running more of an up-tempo offense. He should see slightly higher production than in 2015 in my opinion, but is still a very, very late round punt option.