NFL FanDuel and DraftKings DFS Picks – 2016 Divisional Round

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NFL Breakdown. Wildcard weekend was pretty much what we expected, at least in terms of who won and who lost. This weekend shouldn’t be as transparent, with the exception of the Patriots game. These picks are what I believe are the best options at the position when considering cost and opportunity. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices are FD/DK

QUARTERBACK:

Aaron Rodgers (8800/8200) – It’s really hard to look past Aaron Rodgers right now. Arguably, no one is playing better football than he is. The Packers have absolutely no running game, and Rodgers is going to need to air it out successfully if they hope to get past the Cowboys this weekend. He’s a lot to fit in, especially since I think the running back position is worse off this week than last, but he’s a great place to start.

Alex Smith (6800/5400) – One surefire way of differentiating yourself from the crowd is by rolling out Alex Smith this weekend. He finished the year on a high note, and I think he’s going to be the one that has to get it done in order for the Chiefs to win here. He’s a nice savings on Rodgers, especially on a weekend where there are such few games and value options are at a premium.

RUNNING BACK:

Le’Veon Bell (9900/10500) – Shockingly, even after a huge wildcard weekend, FanDuel made the determination to drop his price. In big game situations like this, I just don’t see any reason to look anywhere else but with Bell. He’s involved in every facet of the game to the point that there is no way he does poorly unless the Steelers just come out flat as a team. It’s possible, but unlikely.

Ezekiel Elliot (8500/8500) – Elliott has been able to rest up over the past few weeks enough that he should be ready to have a monster game here. I think that he should be able to run over the Packers this weekend, and that is one of the major reasons he’s on this list. I just don’t see anyone else having the potential of he and Bell, and especially on FanDuel where it is easier, I am going to stack these two a lot.

WIDE RECEIVER: 

Julio Jones (8300/8400) – It’s been quite the up and down season for Jones and his fantasy owners, but we really only have to worry about this week. He should be well rested, and for the Falcons to move on past the Seahawks, they will need Julio to come through in a big way. His upside is monstrous, and I want to have as much exposure to him as I can.

Doug Baldwin (7900/8100) – Baldwin is the safety valve on this Seattle team, and yet again, I would expect for Russell Wilson to look his way many times. His price has come up through the last few weeks of the season after somewhat of a sluggish start, but he’s a reliable option that should come through for us yet again this weekend.

Paul Richardson (4700/4100) – In circumstances like this, I don’t mind throwing out two receivers from the same team. Even though the Falcons defense is bad, I think the offense will score enough that the emphasis will be put on the Seattle passing game to stay in the game. Richardson is really coming around and making a name for himself, moving into the 2017 campaign, and I think he’ll be a very popular value option this weekend.

TIGHT END:

Travis Kelce (7100/6100) – If we expect Smith to have a nice game, the production is going to have to come from somewhere, and Kelce could certainly be that guy this weekend. Jeremy Maclin has been playing better, which does bring down some of Kelce’s upside, and I think with every other position being stacked at the top, Kelce should be lower owned. I like him this weekend.

Jared Cook (5400/3900) – If you want to save the money so that you can spend up elsewhere, I think it makes a lot of sense to look at Jared Cook. If Nelson is unable to go, the targets should get spread around a little bit more, and I cannot imagine Randall Cobb having another three score game. I think Cook will get into the end zone this week, and makes a nice option on this slate.

DEFENSE:

New England Patriots (5100/4000) – I feel like it just makes sense to go with the Patriots at home here. Yeah, Brock Osweiler looked pretty good last week, but that was against a Raiders defense that really isn’t that good. I would expect Osweiler to revert back into his former self this weekend, and the Patriots should run roughshod over him.

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