Best NBA DFS FantasyDraft, FanDuel and DraftKings Picks & Tips – 2/11/17
Pricing is FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings
Russell Westbrook (24900/13500/13900) – How bad was Russell Westbrook on Friday night against Phoenix? His first quarter was probably the worst single quarter he played all year. I was also shocked to see him get pulled when he only needed one or two assists to get the triple-double. It didn’t work against Phoenix, but I think he stands a good chance of doing pretty well against the Nuggets tonight. We can say things like they Nuggets are bad against point guards, but this is Russ we are talking about. He’s just too good.
Jamal Murray (10100/4300/5100) – As of now, Jameer Nelson is out, and Emmanuel Mudiay might not play either. This means we could see 40 minutes of Jamal Murray. If that is the case, the matchup is irrelevant, because at this price, he should be able to produce. He could end up being the most popular play of the night, and he’ll make his way into a ton of my lineups as a result.
Devin Booker (14700/8100/8000) – Booker is playing some unreal basketball right now, and it just doesn’t seem to be a great decision to go against it. Dallas is both a bad basketball team and a tanking one. It will be interesting to see who actually plays for Dallas tonight, but we do know that Booker will be playing tonight. He’s a good bet to hit the 40 fantasy point mark tonight, making him a staple in my lineup at this point in the year.
Buddy Hield (11600/5500/5800) – Hield is really up and down right now, but he’s priced at a point where I am fine with playing him in a matchup like this. He should see the minutes as Dave Joerger works hard to give his young guys minutes, and we know that Houston as a team doesn’t like to play defense. A 30-point outing is possible and I’ll have some shares of him to be sure tonight.
Andrew Wiggins (13600/7700/7200) – The Lakers seem to be the one team that Wiggins destroys each and every time he plays them. As a result, we need to consider him when they play. The Wolves have nothing left to play for, but Tom Thibedeau is highly unlikely to just roll over and play dead. He is going to work these guys like they are gunning for a championship. He’s got 50-point upside here, so he’ll be in quite a few of my lineups.
T.J. Warren (12600/6400/6700) – Warren is always a threat, but has seen his roll diminishing ever so slightly. His price, as a result, has come down a little bit, and that’s a great sign for me. I really want to use guys who are in his situation, because you could end up with a combination of lowered price and lowered ownership due to recency bias. I think he’ll be able to get things in order tonight, and makes one of my favorite plays.
Willie Cauley-Stein (12300/6300/6500) – This is a nice matchup for Cauley-Stein who is really making the best of the DeMarcus Cousins deal. He is going to float around the 30-25 minute mark, which puts his upside most likely in the late-30’s. I am fine with that at his price. Houston does struggle with big men, so Cauley-Stein could see a good stat line tonight.
Larry Nance, Jr. (10500/4300/5300) – Nance Jr. is one of the guys really benefiting from injury and additional opportunities. Minnesota is a great team to target, because they don’t play a ton of defense, and end up giving up a pretty good amount of points. With his increase opportunity, it’s just too hard to ignore Nance right now.
Clint Capela (11200/5500/5700) – Really had a tough time narrowing things down tonight at center, but I like the matchup for Capela a lot. He didn’t play Friday, which I believe was for rest purposes, so he should be playing tonight. Sacramento is not a team we need to be concerned about right now defensively, so he makes sense in your lineups.
Boban Marjanovic (9800/3600/4900) – Get ready for like 90% ownership of Boban. Just remember, you heard it here first. I’ll take my lumps when I’m wrong, but that was something I was on early and right on. He’s a monster when he gets the minutes, and something tells me he’ll see near 30 tonight. If that happens, 40 fantasy points is on the horizon again.
The season is really ticking down and it is going to be very difficult to figure out who is safe. There is no better example of that then the fact that the Spurs are sitting basically everyone tonight.
This is the last time I am going to write something here. From today on, I will be copying and pasting what I write now into this section.
Make your focus one of two things: guys fighting for playoff spots/positioning or guys getting a ton of minutes to earn opportunities. It may seem simplistic, but that’s basically where we are at.