NBA DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/5/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Pricing is FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

POINT GUARD:

Stephen Curry (17900/10000/10000) – Stephen Curry seems like a naturally starting point for me for a few reasons. First, the Warriors are just crushing things right now, which is never a bad thing. Second, they are playing Phoenix, who is about the worst team in the league against the point guard position. Finally, they are playing Phoenix at home, where they are less terrible. I’m thinking 55+ fantasy points are well within reach and hopefully the Suns somehow keep it close so it can be more.

Tyler Ulis (13900/6200/7600) – Ulis is still seeing as many minutes as he can handle. Where it has been the idea that we just play him as a result, his price has now brought him to a point where Im not sure that is such a lock. On top of that, I do think that there is an obvious chance that the Warriors blow them out. Also, this isn’t the easiest defense to work against. I would only be using him in tournaments tonight, because there is still a ton of upside at this price.

Patty Mills (8400/4200/4200) – Patty Mill is kind of a speculative play but maybe not. I highly doubt that Tony Parker plays in this game, which should leave Mills with a ton of minutes and opportunities. Plus, it’s the Lakers, and they are just not a good defense at all. I think he’s in play either way honestly, and I won’t hesitate to use him in my tournament lineups.

SHOOTING GUARD:

James Harden (22400/12100/12500) – James Harden is an interesting situation tonight. It’s been a little while since he’s played, but it wasn’t due to the wrist; it was due to illness, or so we’ve been told. The wrist is the one area I don’t want to mess with, but one must assume that Harden should be feeling a little better tonight after those few days off. I wouldn’t overload on him, but this is a great matchup for him and I won’t hesitate having some exposure.

Gary Harris (11200/6100/5600) – On the flip side of things, we’ve seen how bad the Rockets are on defense. Literally, it just comes down to them scoring more points than their opponents every night. Harris would even be a better play if Barton and Nelson miss once again tonight, so keep an eye out on that. He’s got mid-30’s upside in this game, and his price on DraftKings is just far too cheap not to take notice.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (10100/4600/5100) – KCP has gone from my go to guy to the guy I want to rip my hair out when I think of putting him in my lineups. I keep telling myself that things will turn around, and they do, but it’s only for one night. I’m still willing to take the chance on him tonight though, even on a medium sized slate.

SMALL FORWARD:

LeBron James (18300/10700/10200) – I’m all in on LeBron James down the stretch when he is playing a high caliber playoff team. It doesn’t hurt that Cleveland needs this win in the worst way to take the top seed back. As a result, I think LeBron is going to be in a great position to come close to a 60-point game, and with his price where it is at, he’s where it is all going to start for me tonight.

Trevor Ariza (11600/5800/5900) – I like these pace up games, and Ariza is seeing a ton of time on the court right now. He is excellent at stealing the ball, and Phoenix is a team that will make mistakes. Ariza will surely make them pay for it. He’s got 40-point upside and at this price, that’s something that we want to take into consideration tonight.

Andre Iguodala (10200/5200/5200) – I feel like I say the same thing every time. Iguodala has been great with Durant hurt. He’s really chipped in on offense. And so on, and so forth. I’m going to save you all that tonight, and just tell you that he makes an excellent option at this price.

POWER FORWARD:

Nikola Jokic (17300/10000/9400) – Right now, at the start of the DEN/NO game, Jokic doesn’t look very good. Would you really expect him to against Cousins and Davis, though? Tomorrow is a different story against Houston, because it’s Ariza and Capela, a far stretch from what he is getting tonight. The price on him is still way too cheap on DraftKings, so I will be using him a lot there tonight.

Serge Ibaka (11900/5600/6000) – Ibaka is actually cheaper on FanDuel tonight than on DraftKings, so I will actually be using him even more there. His play has also been turning around as of late, which is always a plus to see. He only needs just 30 points to make value all around, and I am confident he can get the job done tonight.

Tobias Harris (11900/5300/6000) – Honestly, Harris is on this list because I just really don’t like anyone else. His play has been up and down as of late, but I’m willing to buy in on him for those highs. He’s got 40-point upside each time he hits the court if things line up properly for him, so I am willing to take the chance with him tonight. I think the Toronto front court is fine to play against.

CENTER:

Hassan Whiteside (14700/8400/7900) – I would really like to see Whiteside playing better to use him at this price. I think you have to consider the second half of this season a pretty considerable step back for the big man. Charlotte isn’t a great rebounding team, and quite frankly I’m giggling when I think of Cody Zeller or Frank Kaminsky trying to body up and play against Whiteside. I think I’m fine using him in either format tonight.

Pau Gasol (11500/5500/5700) – Pau could very easily be rested on the second night of a back to back, so make sure you are paying attention for that. If he does play, what more can you really say about his matchup against the Lakers? It’s clearly and obviously the best matchup you are going to get, and Pau could very easily destroy them and produce elite value at this price.

Clint Capela (11300/5500/5800) – Finally, I think you have to take a look at Clint Capela tonight. He’s playing good basketball right now, and I’m not afraid to challenge Denver at the post. I think he could put up another 30-point game here and makes for a nice tournament options.

Slate Strategy

As long as he doesn’t sit, and I don’t think he will, I’ve got to start building my lineups around LeBron James. I think he’s got the safest floor/upside combination, and sometimes just knowing the guy will get you 50 is worth going in on, even if the upside doesn’t materialize.

From there, the other high priced option I really, really like is Nikola Jokic. On FanDuel, there is no difficulty putting those two together, but on DraftKings, it’s a little bit trickier. You can do it though, as I’m sure there will be some value that pops up sooner rather than later.

I think you can use mid-priced guys like Trevor Ariza and Tobias Harris who carry similar floor/upside combos, and you are off to building lineups tonight.

Situations to Monitor

Boston – Jae Crowder is a game time decision as of now. If he misses, that would mean more Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown.

Dallas – Whoever played Tuesday will probably rest on Wednesday.

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