NBA DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 3/27/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Pricing is FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

POINT GUARD:

Kyrie Irving (14700/9100/7900) – With only six games, and baseball season coming sooner than anticipated, we’ll keep the picks to 2 per position when there are six games or less. Tonight, the Cavs will be heading to San Antonio to take on the Spurs. This COULD be a Finals preview, which will be interesting to get this time of the year. When I think of Kyrie Irving vs. Tony Parker, I can’t help but get a little bit excited. Parker is no match for him at this point in his career, and Kyrie’s price on DraftKings is too good to be true. I’ll have a good amount of him tonight.

Elfrid Payton (13300/7100/7100) – Payton is having himself a great second half of the season, and quite honestly, he’s going to make some people think prior to season long drafts in September and October. He was headed the way of Ricky Rubio, with constant analysis pointing toward Orlando not being happy with him, but you can’t argue with what he is doing now. Cory Joseph has been a great matchup down the stretch here, and with how Payton is playing, I have no issues paying this price. You’ll probably get him at low ownership to boot.

SHOOTING GUARD:

DeMar DeRozan (16000/9200/8600) – DeRozan has been really up and down without Kyle Lowry, but when he is up, he is really, really up. Orlando is a bad basketball team, but they do possess the ability to shut DeRozan down, so I won’t have a full allotment of him tonight. I will absolutely have some of him, though, because he’s one of those players that could hit 7-8x value and really put you in a good place in your tournament games tonight.

Tyreke Evans (8800/5500/4500) – I’m expecting most players to gravitate toward Buddy Hield after his monster game, but I think Evans is in a great position tonight. I specifically like him on DraftKings, where his price is just too good to be true, despite an uncertain role at this point in the year. As long as he is active and gets 20-24 minutes, even in a slow paced game against the Grizzlies, I think he could come through with 5-6x value on DraftKings tonight. It also doesn’t hurt that he is small forward eligible over there.

SMALL FORWARD:

Kawhi Leonard (17600/9100/9500) – Kawhi Leonard is the guy that I can see doing damage to the Cavs. I mean, heck, he’s got a Finals MVP because of what he was able to do against another LeBron James led team, so why not the Cavs? I think the matchup could push some people off of him, but I think that I am fine with spending this kind of money. I think the upside is over 50 points, and he should give you better point per dollar production than LeBron, although there is little hope for a double-double, let alone a triple-double. He’s not my favorite play, but he is someone I will have a good amount of ownership on.

P.J. Tucker (8700/3900/4400) – If we get word that DeMarre Carroll will be out again, and we know that Tucker will see a ton of minutes once more, I think it’s hard not to look his way. It’s a short slate, so not only is value harder to come by, but the scores will almost certainly be lower as a result of less teams playing. I think we could easily see another 30-point game from him tonight, and if we do, he’ll be blowing value out of the water.

POWER FORWARD:

Tobias Harris (11900/5400/6000) – The power forward position isn’t exactly my favorite tonight, if we are being honest, but we also are going to have to play somebody there. Harris hasn’t been the greatest option over the last few games, but we know that he has a ton of upside. New York is a great team to target for just about anyone to get back on track, so why would Harris be any different? I’ll have a pretty good amount of him tonight in both cash games and tournaments.

Skal Labissiere (9900/4700/5000) – Labissiere is one of my favorite tournament targets tonight. I actually think it could be difficult for the Grizzles to defend him given his lankiness. He is still very raw, and doesn’t have a guaranteed role on this team if someone else gets hot, but it does go to his benefit that the coach really wants to give him some run. If he’s able to stay out of foul trouble tonight, it could be a good night for the young player.

CENTER:

Rudy Gobert (14700/8700/8000) – Gobert has been pretty awesome to say the least over the last several games. The matchup against the Pelicans is one that he should be able to dominate once again, especially if we see DeMarcus Cousins sit again tonight. The price on him has gone up considerably, but so has his production. If you can afford to fit him in, he makes for a great starting point for what could be another monster night.

Guillermo Hernangomez (10200/5100/5200) – Hernangomez is extremely risky, but also carries a ton of upside. Detroit has actually been a tougher matchup for centers this year, which is why Hernangomez can really only be considered in tournaments. Still, he’s a good enough player to crack the 30 point mark tonight. Also, there is a good chance that he could finish under 20 points tonight as well. That is the risk you’ll have to take.

Slate Strategy

I know I didn’t mention him, but obviously Russell Westbrook is someone that does need to be considered tonight. You know he’s thinking about the record, whether he wants to admit it or not, and even though he’s expensive, he is the highest upside player on the slate.

Outside of him, we have LeBron James, who could always be in consideration regardless of the opponent. Then we have Anthony Davis, who isn’t nearly as exciting going up against a slow paced Utah Jazz team, though you can also never write him off. Then you have DeMarcus Cousins, who kind of falls in the same category as Davis, being on the same team as all.

Once you figure out if you are spending up on one of those guys, you can look at the cheaper plays around him to fill out your roster. This isn’t an extremely sexy slate, but it’s what we’ve got.

Situations to Monitor

New York – Carmelo Anthony is questionable for this game. If he misses, I would heavily consider both Derrick Rose and Kristaps Porzingis.

Toronto – DeMarre Carroll is questionable with a sore back. If he missed, Normal Powell has some intrigue, but really we see more time going to P.J. Tucker.

Memphis – Marc Gasol missed Sunday night’s game, so it’s tough to know if he’s going to miss Monday. If he does, it really helps a number of guys on Sacramento, who will be dealing with a lesser defender, as well as Zach Randolph, JaMychal Green and Brandon Wright.

New Orleans – DeMarcus Cousins missed Sunday night. If he misses again, I think it will help Solomon Hill most, though the matchup isn’t the greatest.

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