NBA DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 11/17/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Friday night brings us a solid 11 game slate, which sees us without some high pace teams like Philadelphia, which does bring expectations down a bit. I will still be running a solid amount of lineups in this in tournaments, and I think there are some pretty nice spots to pick on here.

Pricing is FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

GUARDS:

Devin Booker (13300/7600/7800) – Yes, this will be on the second half of a back to back, and the fact that the Lakers are really able to give up a ton of fantasy points to all positions does not exactly give me resounding confidence in him. However, his upside is pretty significant, and he is the focus of this team right now. He has a low end triple-double upside if things go his way, and based on how the Lakers play, I think he could see an increase in rebounds in this. I would expect his ownership to be high because of the Lakers effect, but ownership can get muted on these big slates.

Donovan Mitchell (13800/6400/6500) – First things first, Rodney Hood can have such a horrible effect on Mitchell because when he gets into the game, he can become a ball hog quickly. Mitchell had an awesome first half on Wednesday, but really fell apart in the second. When he plays with Alec Burks, he sees the ball in his hands more, more shots happen and his assist numbers go up. With Hood in the game, the mentality becomes hero ball. Right now, Ricky Rubio is questionable for this game, which I think benefits Mitchell because it would force Burks into more minutes and put the ball into Mitchells hands more. The Nets are awful and I expect another monster game here from Mitchell.

Spencer Dinwiddie (10800/6500/5500) – Russell is out again here, and even though his price has come up, Dinwiddie is still in play. He is going to see the minutes, and he is willing to contribute in multiple categories. I have been all over the Jazz games without Rudy Gobert, because the defense drops significantly, and things do not get any better if Ricky Rubio misses. He is a threat to cross the 40-point mark, and his higher price could scare some off of him.

FORWARDS/CENTERS:

Andre Drummond (16200/9100/8900) – Drummond is a monster, despite the fact that he did not have a great result the last time out. He takes on Indiana tonight, and one look at Myles Turner and Thaddeus Young lets you know that they are going to be physically overmatched. He has already gone for almost 48 DraftKings points against them this year, and I think we could see the same type of result tonight.

Harrison Barnes (12700/7200/6300) – Barnes is a guy that I have some ownership on pretty much every time he plays. The matchup here does not scare me, and I believe that Barnes will continue his strong play. We will continue to be fed the narrative that he has no upside, but one glance at the box score tells a different story. I will be on him until he probably comes close to $7k.

Will Barton (11700/6200/5800) – Another guy I tend to keep ownership of is Will Barton. People seem to only want to play him when he starts, and yes, that obviously raises his ceiling, but he is still a threat to crack the 40 fantasy point mark at just about any time. You attack New Orleans with your guards (re: Kyle Lowry/DeMar DeRozan as examples), and Barton will be counted on heavily to keep this game close.

Strategy

I said it on Wednesday and I will say it again: target Utah. If this team is without Ricky Rubio, this game could easily be the highest scoring game of the night – one that includes LAL/PHO.

Portland/Sacramento strikes me as being a game that is going to be either game stack at low ownership or just better off left alone. Both teams play slow and we know that the Kings are awful.

All around, I think this is a promising slate and I think playing a good amount of lineups in tournaments is a good idea.

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