NBA DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 10/30/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Nine games is a pretty solid sized slate, and we have some good matchups to boot, so it should be a fun night for fantasy.

As has been the case the entire year, there are a number of injury situations we need to keep our eyes on, chief of which being Chris Paul, as the matchup with the Sixers is too much to ignore for James Harden if he is without Paul.

Pricing is FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

GUARDS:

James Harden (22300/11100/11200) – Well, as I mentioned above, Harden is the logical starting point. He has a strong ceiling in this game, and a nice floor. I would say we have a range of 50-70 points. I think it is highly unlikely that Eric Gordon is out, but I really think that helps Harden, as the presence of Gordon forces more honesty from the defense. Yes, Philly will try to play defense. We will laugh. It will be a great time for all. All things considered, this should be an excellent spot to start building your lineup in all formats.

Tim Hardaway Jr. (10000/4300/4900) – The start of the season was sad for THJ, but he put on a clinic against the pitiful Cavs on Sunday. It feels so strange saying that, but they are awful right now. The Nuggets and the Knicks both played on Sunday, so we did not see the prices change at all, giving us the ability to play THJ at this price instead of what would have likely been $500 more. There is still a major downside to him, but you cannot always get 40 point upside at this price.

T.J. McConnell (8900/4900/4400) – We know that Markele Fultz  is going to be out for a few more weeks and J.J. Redick is dealing with back issues, so there are minutes at the guard position to go around. McConnell is way too cheap given what he brings to the table, and James Harden is very loose with the ball, so there is almost immediate upside for steals. He is a solid facilitator, and his shot has been landing, and I am more than willing to spend on him at his price on DraftKings.

FORWARDS/CENTERS:

Anthony Davis (20100/11700/11000) – You could play Cousins or Davis, it really does not matter. They are both killing it this year, and there is not chance any combination the Magic work to come up with is going to stop them. I prefer AD because he is a little bit cheap on DraftKings, but I will have them together where I can. The Magic are moving the ball at a high pace and I think this is a great spot for the Twin Towers in NO to have big games.

Kelly Olynyk (11700/5600/5500) – It looks like Hassan Whiteside is going to be out again, so James Johnson and Olynyk are going to be seeing good minutes. I side with Kelly here because he is cheaper, but I would not fault you for going with JJ. The Timberwolves have not exactly been setting the world on fire on the defensive side of things, so I would be willing to use KO in all formats.

Harrison Barnes (10900/6100/5300) – I really want to go with Pascal Siakam here but I do not know what is going on with Jonas Valancunias or Lucas Nogueira at this point, so I do not want to put my eggs in that basket. If they miss, he is still underpriced, despite perhaps not being as good as Jakob Poeltl. Barnes gets a a poor matchup against the Utah Jazz, but I think he is basically matchup proof, and with needing just over 25 fantasy points to hit value, I think he should be a strong bet to hit value. He could see lower ownership because I do think a lot of upside does go away with him playing the Jazz, but his floor is why I am playing him.fan

Strategy

For the first time, as long as I can remember, the FanDuel pricing seems to be a little more tight than DraftKings. I still prefer the DraftKings experience because of the G/F/UTIL structure that allows for lineups to be more highly diversified. To each their own, though.

It is hard to look past the PHI/HOU, ORL/NO, TOR/POR and GS/LAC games for my lineups. Those games should stay close, and they offer what I believe would be the best opportunity for complete fantasy production.

I do feel like the Mavericks make interesting tournament options. They are slow as it is, but add to it the Jazz who are the slowest, and I think most (sane) players would take a complete fade perspective on the game. I am not quite sure I am going to go too heavy on them, but I do not think it will take much to get exposure higher than the field on them.

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