Welcome back to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. Tonight we are looking at a 5 game slate, which is small, but playable.
Only 1 game on the slate is under 200: TOR/SA. Three are under 210: IND/PHI, DET/CHI and MIA/POR. One game is over 210: SAC/DEN. I am not going to spend any time discussing potential blowouts because this is the time of year where things stop making sense in the NBA, and you deal with what you have.
On to the action!
Damian Lillard- He has under performed over the last several games, but something tells me tonight will be different. Also, I didn’t want to leave like 5k on the table, so I had to spend up somewhere else. Still, I think this game can be competitive, and Lillard will need to be on for that to happen.
Darren Collison- Collison may have to play 48 minutes tonight. The team is down to like a 3 guard rotation, with James Anderson and Seth Curry being the other guards. Yeah. He has played well the last few weeks, and he will have to shoulder a portion of the load in a friendly matchup tonight.
Emmanuel Mudiay- Mudiay hasn’t been very exciting lately, but tonight could be the night against a severely undermanned Sacramento team, that isn’t even good when it is fully manned. His price has fallen to a very nice place, so I don’tblame you for going there tonight.
Jimmy Butler- Derrick Rose is on the wrong end of questionable, so I really like Butler here. He hasn’t been spectacular, but his upside is definitely past 50, so if he has a big game, you will not be able to catch up on a short slate.
Will Barton – I love playing the two guard against the Kings, and tonight will be no different. Barton should find all the space he needs to work on with potentially every big not named Quincy Acy questionable for the game, he will probably not be able to be stopped driving to the rim.
Seth Curry – Curry definitely gets the benefit of a short roster tonight, but has also been playing well to boot. I can certainly see him put up over 20 fantasy points against a weak Denver backcourt, and that will be enough to make value. He will also be highly owned as well.
Paul George- This is the spot in my opinion to spend up on tonight. George has a great matchup against Philly, and I definitely see a game of 40+ fantasy points coming tonight. There is enough value elsewhere that I want to spend at this position.
Kawhi Leonard- The Raptors weak spot is the SF position. Kawhi is good a taking advantage of weak spots. Kawhi should be in your lineup tonight. San Antonio is heavily favors, but Toronto is not a bad team, and should keep this interesting.
Rudy Gay- I hate Rudy Gay, at least from a fantasy perspective. Every time the stars align, and he is a must play, he puts up a dud. Still, everything is going in his favor tonight, and he should be a major focus of the offense with everyone out. If you want to go cheaper, Nikola Mirotic is a great play.
Luol Deng- For the most part, Deng has been playing very well over the last ten games. A game against the Portland frontcourt is not intimidating here. I expect Deng over the 30 point mark tonight, making a fine value on his salary.
Tobias Harris- I think all eyes will be on Marcus Morris after his huge outing last night, making it the perfect opportunity to pivot from him to Harris. I like his matchup regardless, but especially if Taj is out.
Jerami Grant/Carl Landry- I think either of these guys is a good play tonight, and they are my salary saving option because I can’t stomach Quincy Acy. Take your pick and hope it was the right one!
Pau Gasol- Paul is going to be called on the play a bigger role if Rose is out. He has ridiculous upside and the matchup isn’t bad either. I give him a good shot to go over 40 and could easily put together a 50 point night.
Andre Drummond- Drummond has a good history against the team, including a 70 point outing before Christmas. I’m not expecting that here, but Detroit could certainly attempt to run the offense through him this evening.
Kosta Koufus- Koufus is currently questionable, but he is cheap, and you have to love the matchup against the Denver frontcourt. Keep an eye out to make sure he is playing, and if he is, lock him in your lineups.
Good luck tonight!