Welcome back to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. Tonight, we get a HUGE 12 game slate. While I like these slates, I would have much rather seen two more games yesterday and two more tomorrow to make things a little more interesting. That is completely self-serving, as I am not going to play cash games on a 4 game slate.
Checking out the Vegas lines, we only have two game that is at or under 200: MIA/SA and UTA/HOU. Four games check in at 210 or under: NY/CHI, MIL/CLE, TOR/BOS and ORL/DET. Four more games come in at 220 or below: ATL/WAS, PHI/DEN, LAL/PHO and DAL/POR. Finally, 2 games have totals over 220: SAC/MIN and LAC/GS. Games with spreads over 8 are: NY/CHI, PHI/DEN, LAC/GS, MIA/SA and MIL/CLE. The biggest concern to me would be the MIA/SA. San Antonio is undefeated at home, coming off a disappointing loss and playing a tired Heat team.
On to my favorites!
Ricky Rubio – I really like a lot of mid-range options tonight that could exceed value. Rubio has been a man possessed for the most part over the last two weeks, and gets a great matchup tonight against the Kings. I will definitely have many players from this game in lineups, but Rubio is one of my favorites. I expect him to drop another 40 burger tonight.
Brandon Knight – I think Knight carries some risk to him, as there are a variety of players on this Phoenix team that could be the ones scoring. I like Knight’s all-around game, and he has owned the Lakers this year. His first performance against them this year was one of the biggest fantasy games all year. I would love that, but I am not expecting it, though 40 points is not out of the question.
Isaiah Canaan – I wanted to go Deron Williams here, but I would also like to offer a cheaper option in Canaan. I like targeting guards against Denver, and though his production is somewhat up and down, he doesn’t need to do much to hit value. I like his chances at 20-22 points tonight, making him a fair bet to hit value.
C.J. McCollum – I remember paying basically, if not, minimum price for C.J. McCollum opening night. Those were the days. His price has gone up, but he is in the midst of a fantastic season that could see him win Most Improved Player of the year. Both the Blazers and Mavericks are contending for better playoff spots, so I expect them both to be playing hard. C.J. should be in a good position to make value tonight.
Zach LaVine – LaVine is on fire. LaVine is playing the Kings. LaVine is going in my lineups. No further analysis necessary.
Jordan Clarkson – D’Angelo Russell’s status for tonight is currently up in the air. If he is out, Clarkson should make for a great play against the Suns. I will admit having somewhat of a tough time trusting him, as he went through a very rough patch there, but the opportunity and matchup are there for him for sure.
LeBron James – I think the Cavs are going to be resting their starts more frequently moving forward, and even though LeBron had a day off a few games back, it is certainly possible he could tonight as well. If he plays, which all indications are that he will right now, I really like him to carry the Cavs tonight. While he may not be the highest scoring player tonight, he may also be the safest bet.
Andrew Wiggins – Make this three straight positions I am suggesting Wolves at. That just goes to show you how poorly the Kings defend. I honestly don’t have a problem playing all three I have suggested in the same lineup. They aren’t overly expensive, and they all produce. Additionally, the basically have no depth on the bench, so most of the scoring is done by the starters.
Hollis Thompson – Thompson outscored Paul George Monday. No, he didn’t have a huge game, but he is playing well, and he is a good bet to exceed value against Denver tonight. This game should be close, as both teams are bad, and I think Thompson could hit the 25 mark and make value tonight.
Derrick Favors – Targeting power forwards against Houston is a recipe for success, and tonight it is Favors turn. Serge Ibaka just had a good game against them last night, and he had been struggling to say the least. Favors is not my favorite guy for cash, but the opportunity is there. Also, I didn’t want to recommend another guy against the Kings here, but Dieng does make a good play.
Jon Leuer – This could be a great spot to get a guy very cheap if he starts. Chandler left the game Monday with back spasms, and those things tend to linger. The matchup against the Lakers couldn’t get any better, and he has a high ceiling for his price.
Darrell Arthur – We know he will be in the lineup, and the Sixers are a great matchup for Arthur. If I can get two power forwards under 4k, I would love to do that. It is possible that Malone could start a combo of Nurkic/Jokic, but Arthus should still get minutes.
Andre Drummond – I love targeting centers against Orlando, and didn’t want to suggest Towns even though he’s in a good spot. Drummond has been disappointing by his standards. I cringe watching Reggie Jackson take unnecessary shot after unnecessary shot when they have a dominant big in the paint. Eventually, someone is going to smack Reggie and Stan Van Gundy and Drummond will get the ball more. Either way, I think he is in a good spot tonight, and could eclipse 40 tonight.
Robin Lopez – Robin Lopez has been consistent, and actually put up some big games based on his price. That is enough to have him on my radar tonight against the Bulls. I think he is playable in all formats, and I love his upside especially in tournaments.
Bismack Biyombo – If Valancunias is out, Biyombo is a strong play. His price has come up from the discount we had been getting a week back, but the production is there as well. He’s shown he’s capable of putting up a 40 burger, which makes him a great high upside play in tournaments.
Good luck to everyone! Let’s all win some cash!