NBA FanDuel & DraftKings DFS Picks – 2/2/17
Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!
Pricing is FD/DK
D’Angelo Russell (6100/5700) – Russell looked very sharp in his return from injury two nights ago, and I think he should be in a good position as the Lakers head to DC to take on the Wizards. A lot of it has to do with the price, but I also think that he should be a fun matchup for John Wall. I get that most people will want to spend up on Wall in a great matchup at home against the Lakers, but the price is up there and Wall would need to do a lot on a team full of guys that are all playing excellent right now.
Raymond Felton (4600/4900) – Felton is a risky option, to be sure, but I think he could be a good matchup for the Warriors here. Some of it is because I don’t love anyone else at the position, but it’s also because if this game stays close, Felton has big time upside. He’s put up pretty good value in most games since Christ Paul has been out, and I look for that to continue tonight against the Warriors.
James Harden (12000/12400) – I’ve gone back and forth on James Harden. On one hand, he’s had two really bad games in a row, and he’s still priced up, and that could pull players off of him, but it is unlikely. He just got over a game against Sacramento where he basically didn’t need to play because they didn’t show up. What do you expect when you travel from Philadelphia to Houston? Well, the Hawks are in the same boat tonight – playing in a back to back and flying from Miami to Houston. I’m guessing they are probably going to get in really, really late. The starters didn’t play more than 26 minutes, so that’s why I am giving benefit of the doubt to them showing up and Harden being a good play.
Lou Williams (6500/5700) – Lou Williams has been one of the best stories of the year, and he’s made a very big impact on this Lakers team. The price is back on there, and this should be a high scoring matchup against a Wizards team that has been playing very good basketball, in fact, going undefeated in January. I think he’s a guy you have to look at in tournaments tonight.
Otto Porter (6700/6500) – I’d love to say that Kawhi Leonard is in play here, but I can’t at his price. I mean, there are so many things that can go wrong at that price for a guy who hasn’t performed at the level of a LeBron or Durant for the most part on the year. I’ll gladly drop down to Porter, who should be able to do really well in a matchup like this. His price is up there but he’s got pretty crazy upside if everything is going well.
Andre Iguodala (4400/4000) – Iguodala has been playing pretty strong off the bench as of late, and at this price, in this matchup, he’s someone who I don’t mind looking into in our tournament lineups. This is a four game slate. It isn’t like we have 12 games to find value in, and even though Iguodala is highly unlikely to break the 30 point mark, there is a good chance he’ll finish around the 25 mark, making him an excellent play at the price.
Markeiff Morris (7500/6800) – Morris has to be the top player on the slate, which is kind of crazy for me to say. I have been wrong lately on my plays of the day, but they haven’t been situations that were not chalk. Boogie against Houston? Very popular. Carmelo against Brooklyn? Huge ownership percentage. The Lakers have been awful against the power forward position, and Keiff is playing the best hoops of his career right now. I’m all over him tonight.
Ersan Ilyasova (5700/5800) – The Spurs are a tough matchup, but with no Embiid and no Covington, I think it makes a lot of sense to look in Ilyasova’s direction. He needs to get around 30 points to hit value, and he should be able to do that tonight. I think he is playable in either format. This is a much less intense back to back set, as the Sixers are staying in the state of Texas.
Dwight Howard (7100/6900) – Howard has been really consistent as of late, and I mean, c’mon, why is going to stand toe to toe with him? Nene? Capela? Ryan Anderson? No. None of them. As long as the Hawks aren’t playing on tired legs, Howard should be a pretty nice option tonight in all formats. The price is really nice, and this is a big pace up game for them, so if the Hawks can stick in it, Dwight could have a huge night.
Ivica Zubac (4700/3900) – Zubac is going to be a popular play again tonight. The matchup is neutral, and I think he’s an intriguing option, as I could imagine him putting together a monster game sooner or later. The concern here is that Julius Randle will be back, and if he is, Zubac will probably go back to the bench and lose some of his minutes. I think he’s really only in play for now if Randle is out.