NBA FanDuel and DraftKings DFS Picks – 1/7/17
Welcome to another one of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdowns. Saturday has a decent eight game slate for us. I have to admit, I don’t really like this slate, which means I’ll probably do well, because that’s just how things work. I’m going to suggest plays that should be able to be used in both formats, but will mention it if someone should only be used in a specific format.
Pricing is FD/DK
Russell Westbrook (12200/12900) – It’s been a few weeks since we’ve seen a truly monster game out of Westbrook, and this is one of those situations that sets up well. The Nuggets are playing pretty good ball right now, and I think Westbrook is going to have to go pedal to the metal to keep his team in the lead. The price is very fair for what he is capable of and I’ll have him everywhere.
Tony Parker (4900/5000) – Parker has turned back the clock lately, as he has been putting up big game after big game. Charlotte has been giving up big games all over the place to all positions, and with Nicolas Batum out, I think this team is going to be offense only. Obviously, there is a concern that without one of their best players Charlotte could get blown out, but I feel pretty good about them staying in it.
Shelvin Mack (4100/4600) – Shelvin Mack should be doing a lot better than he actually is, but there is still time to turn things around, as long as George Hill remains out. Minnesota is one of the most fantasy friendly options to point guards, so it shouldn’t be too difficult to get the 20 points or so that he needs in order to hit value. I would only use him in tournaments, as I think he could just as easily fizzle out.
Victor Oladipo (5900/6600) – I’m always a big fan of doubling up on the Denver backcourt when I can, because the are just so defensively inept. I mean Gary Harris isn’t that bad I guess, but he isn’t going to stop this team from moving. Oladipo has been floating around the 30 point fantasy mark pretty solidly lately, so I think this is an excellent spot to pair him with Westbrook and move on.
Buddy Hield (4200/4300) – Hield has been coming around lately, putting up fantasy performances around the 30 point mark. Boston has been known to give up some pretty big games, and with Hield seeing more time and doing a much better job being productive with it, he makes a great option in cash games and tournaments tonight.
Seth Curry (4200/4300) – I think Curry is a tournament only option, but I definitely think there is upside here. Look, Dallas is a pretty old team, and it isn’t long before Rick Carlisle takes the reigns off and let’s Curry go. I think it might not be until after the All-Star break, but it won’t shock me to see him see some more usage in the coming games. Atlanta does struggle defending guards, and I think you could do a lot worse if you are punting.
Jimmy Butler (9300/8900) – Butler barely came through for us the other night against Cleveland, looking like he wasn’t ready for the big time in the first quarter. Fortunately, Toronto poses much less of a threat than Cleveland, so I would expect Jimmy Buckets to be able to come through with a big game here. It takes a lot for him to get value, but when he has big games, he’s pretty much untouchable.
Kawhi Leonard (8500/8100) – Interestingly, the night after we suffered the heart attack with Butler, Kawhi did the exact same thing. All the usage as flowing through Tony Parker and LaMarcus Aldridge. Fortunately, it got some extra run, and that allowed him to have a good game. Charlotte has struggled guarding the position this year, and I think Leonard is in for a nice night.
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (4500/4700) – MKG is such an up and down player, that he could end up with anywhere between 5 and 45 points on any given night, with plenty of peaks and valleys along the way. It isn’t customarily a good idea to play guys against the Spurs, but with Batum out, I could see MKG having to stay on the floor a little bit extra. He can play the physical style the Spurs want to play, so I think he could end up having a good game.
Tobias Harris (6000/6200) – Portland has woes defending the power forward position, and Harris has just been so good lately. He’s great coming off the bench, but really, he’s the guy they want in the game down the stretch. He should be able to post another 30 point fantasy game here and is an easy play, especially in cash games.
Enes Kanter (5500/5200) – Kanter is another guy who is playing so well off the bench, though he didn’t get placed there out of the starting lineup. He is also priced very well, which makes a ton of sense to use in your lineups. He’ll have his ups and downs, which you risk anytime you play someone coming off the bench, but the upside of using him is worth the risk.
Jon Leuer (4800/4900) – Leuer has replaced Kentavious Caldwell-Pope as the go to cash game play on the Pistons. Well, he and Harris. I don’t think you should expect a ton of upside here, but I think he’s a pretty safe bet to finish around the 25 point mark, and he also makes a great value play to open up salary elsewhere.
Dwight Howard (7500/7000) – Let’s see. Dwight Howard against Andrew Bogut/Dirk Nowitzki/Salah Mejri? OK, I’ll take that any day of the week. To me, Howard has like 50 point upside in this game, and even with that being said, will probably be crazy underowned. I’ll gladly take the plunge with him in all formats, and he’s one of my favorite plays this week.
Myles Turner (7100/7200) – Turner had his biggest game since opening night last time out when the Pacers played the Nets. Tonight’s matchup isn’t as good, but he should still be able to have a good game against the Pacers. The price went up a little bit, but I still think he’s worth playing in tournaments tonight.
Mason Plumlee (6500/5900) – Plumlee overall has been pretty solid as of late, and the Pistons can struggle at times with the center position. He doesn’t have a ton of upside at this price, but I do believe he has a pretty safe floor, with should make him a nice play in cash games. I think for just around a thousand more, I’d rather have Howard in tournaments.