NBA FanDuel & DraftKings DFS Picks – 1/30/17
Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!
Pricing is FD/DK
Eric Bledsoe (9600/9000) – A rather small slate for this Monday night, but it still has some pretty good games. I think that Bledsoe has a big question mark next to his name because, while he has been very good, people tend to stop when they see Memphis. This Memphis backcourt just isn’t the same, and actually makes a nice target for our tournament lineups. It’s tough to run him out there at almost $10K on FanDuel, but I think he does have that kind of upside in tournaments.
Mike Conley (7500/7000) – The Grizzlies have been a pretty good team to target in daily fantasy as of late, and I think it will only get better with a fast paced matchup against the Suns. Conley has been excellent as of late, and has been used in lineups more frequently than he has in many years passed. I think he’s a good bet to cross the 35 point mark, and has upside for even more.
Isaiah Whiteside (3800/3200) – Whiteside is a very risky tournament option, but you can’t ignore how well he has been playing as of late. I really don’t play matchups too much anymore in the NBA, because it’s not consistent enough for it to be a worth saying “don’t play this guy because he won’t do well”. If Whiteside gets the minutes, he could definitely end up with a game that exceeds the 5x value we want from him.
Dion Waiters (6300/7000) – Who would have thought that Dion Waiters was going to be this good this year? The talent was always there in Cleveland, but his attitude got in his way at times. Now that he is being given another big opportunity here, I think he is likely to start to show his true talent. The price is starting to creep up, but the matchup is just too good, and I think he’ll break 40 points again.
Seth Curry (4300/5300) – Depending on what happens on Sunday night, I would think that Curry should be a very popular pick. His price is fair, and he is being given every opportunity to win right now. Cleveland has actually be really bad against guards this year, and with the usage that Curry could see against them, he’s got to be on your radar.
Wayne Ellington (4300/4500) – Ellington has been a really nice salary relief option over the last few games, and it really doesn’t seem likely that things will end tonight. Brooklyn has been as bad as you can imagine a team being on the defensive end, and I think that Ellington will come through with another big game.
LeBron James (10500/10000) – As usual, the position is pretty crappy, so it just makes sense to toss LeBron James in there. He’ll get you between 45-65 points most likely, so let’s just end that discussion there.
Jae Crowder (6300/6100) –Crowder has picked his level of play up again, so he should be on your radar for sure tonight. Detroit typically does play at a slow pace, but it won’t matter too much because Boston tends to move the ball fast and furious. I think Crowder is a good bet to come in at around the 30 point mark, making him a good option.
Caris LeVert (4400/4000) – I don’t think LeVert, who is a rookie, will need to sit out this game, because, ya know, Kenny Atkinson is the most unpredictable coach this side of Greg Popovich. The one good thing here is that LeVert does have the attention of his coach, who wants to get him some more playing time, which never hurts. someone is going to have to do something on this team, and LeVert is a good bet.
Zach Randolph (6400/5800) – I have made some pretty big mistakes lately not playing Randolph, who is playing out of his mind. There is no way I am going to pass on him as he goes up against an inferior Phoenix team. He’s about as close to a lock as I’m going to get on this slate, because he’s been so good and the matchup is so good. With that said, expect him to completely fall apart tonight. Just kidding, he’ll be fine.
Gorgui Dieng (5800/5700) – Dieng is the type of player you want in both formats every time he plays. He doesn’t bust too often, and he actually comes in over the 5x value mark more than he should for someone whose price just doesn’t adjust. I think this is a good spot for him to land around 30 points tonight, and the Magic play the type of basketball that I think can really benefit his bottom line.
Channing Frye (3800/3400) – If Kevin Love doesn’t play, but LeBron James does, I think that Channing Frye is a good bet to be able to hit the 5x value marker. The matchup isn’t good or bad, but I am not expecting a huge game out of him, just enough of one for him to be worth using.
Karl-Anthony Towns (10900/10800) – Towns has been on fire in the month of January, and I think it is a very real possibility that he keeps things going tonight against Orlando. Nikola Vucevic himself will tell you that he isn’t exactly a great defender. I think this is another good spot to use KAT.
Andre Drummond (8000/7700) – If Al Hordford is out again, I think Drummond could end up having another monster game. He had a big one the last time this team played, and with what Boston will have to roll out against him, he could end up with an even bigger game.
Kelly Olynyk (4100/4400) – If Horford misses this game, I think Olynyk could benefit from having more time on the court, and thus it could very well translate to a nice fantasy score. He only needs around 20-25 points to make it worth while, something that I think he could easily do here.