NBA DFS Picks – 12/5/16
Pricing is FD/DK
Kyle Lowry (8400/8200) – It’s never a bad idea to start at the top and plus Russell Westbrook into your lineups, but I think you can cheat around it tonight [and most nights] with some lower priced plays. Lowry is in a great position at home against the Cavs who have not been themselves as of late. I also think that the way to beat them is typically through the point guard position, as Kyrie Irving just doesn’t really play defense all that well. This could very well be a preview of the Eastern Conference finals, and I think Lowry should be in a great position tonight.
Kyrie Irving (7400/7300) – If you want to get another mid-priced target, I would look at Kyrie Irving, who has been very good so far this year. Like Kyrie, Lowry doesn’t play much defense. Here’s the good news about both players: they typically play around the first 7-8 minutes of the game, exit, and then kick off the second quarter leading the second unit. This means that they should see plenty of each other’s poor defenses and it could allow for some pretty big scores tonight.
Dennis Schroeder (6000/6100) – Schroeder has been in the midst of a hot streak, if you believe in that thing, and tonight is one of the best matchups he has seen during that time. Westbrook is all offense, and Schroeder seems to thrive in high scoring games. His price puts him in an excellent position where there is still an opportunity for some upside, and he will be a staple of my cash games, as well as being used in many of my tournament lineups.
Victor Oladipo (6400/6500) – Oladipo is probably better served as a tournament play, as his inconsistency can kill you sometimes, but this is an excellent spot to roll him out. Shooting guards are having their way with Kyle Korver and his suddenly disappearing defense. I think that it is very likely that the Thunder will rely more heavily than normal on their guards to win this game, as the Hawks have been pretty good guarding forwards and in the paint. He’s worth the price.
Will Barton (5200/5100) – In his two games back after a short absence, Barton has eclipsed 30 fantasy points in both games. That is excellent value at this price. The Sixers should provide the Nuggets another chance at playing in a fast paced, high scoring game, and if that is the way it goes, I think it will allow Barton to have a big game. We’ve seen him put up some huge lines over the last two years, and is worth a play in both formats tonight.
Troy Daniels (4200/4200) – Daniels is having himself quite the run while the Grizzlies are dealing with all of their injuries, and his price has not caught up with him. The Pelicans are a big pace up game for the Grizz, and I think that should benefit Daniels, who is coming off the biggest game of his young career. I have no issues playing all the Grizzlies in cash games or tournaments, and I think there is a good chance that Daniels could end up over the 25-point mark, making for a great value play.
Gordon Hayward (7900/7900) – Hayward has taken what seems to be his biggest step forward this year as he is turning into one of the best all around players in the game. He’s getting a very nice pace up game himself, which should give him more opportunities to produce a well-rounded stat line. Perhaps the best part, as opposed to years past, is that the Lakers are a good enough team to actually stay in games, so I would imagine that Hayward should be able to put up a great game.
Maurice Harkless (5200/5400) – I’m not worried about Al-Farouq Aminu returning to action, as I just don’t see that taking too many of Harkless’ minutes, especially initially. Harkless has been producing at a good pace of the last week and a half, and even though this isn’t a great matchup on paper, I think that Harkless should be able to do enough to put up a great line tonight.
Jae Crowder (5200/5800) – Crowder hasn’t been good in the last two outings, but I would look for things to turn around today as the Celtics take on the Rockets. The price on Crowder, especially on FanDuel, is really good, so it doesn’t take much to hit 5x value, and even when he isn’t hitting it, he’s at least getting it to 4x. I personally think that Crowder will finish with over 30 fantasy points, making him an excellent play this evening.
Anthony Davis (11900/11000) – Even though Memphis plays at a slow pace, it is still going to give up some big games because of the fact that they are playing with a lot of holes right now. Anthony Davis is not the guy you play with holes in your lineups. I do think it could be risky using him on the second night of a back to back, so I would probably put him more in the tournament column than the cash games column. His game against Memphis earlier in the year was the second night of a back to back, and it was one of the worst of the year.
Kenneth Faried (5700/5100) – With Nikola Jokic out for a few games, I think Faried will have extended opportunities to contribute to his team. He’s price fairly, especially on DraftKings, but he is usable on either site. He’s got 40-point upside in a contest like this, where he will be up against players far less athletic than him.
JaMychal Green (5000/5500) – I really mean it when I say that I’m going to have at least 3 if not 4 Grizzlies in my lineups. Green is still far underpriced here, and he will one of the players I use most tonight. The matchup isn’t the best, but I think he should still be able to rack up some points and have a nice game tonight and should be in at least some of your lineups.
Dwight Howard (7600/7100) – With Steven Adams questionable tonight, I would definitely consider using Howard in all formats. With Marc Gasol in a good situation, and Joel Embiid somehow still underpriced, Howard could go underowned tonight, making him an excellent option for tournaments. The price is still fair for him, and I will have a good amount of him in tournaments tonight.
Marc Gasol (7300/7600) – I’m just waiting for the game where Gasol goes off and he has a huge game. It is going to happen any night now, and until it does, I will have a lot of him in my lineups. New Orleans is a middle of the road team against the center position, but Gasol is one of the best in the league, and is matchup proof. I think I’d probably rather take the cost savings on Embiid, but Gasol still makes for an excellent play.
Joel Embiid (6400/6900) – Embiid is going to be in my cash game lineups every night until he reaches at least $8k. He sat out on Saturday, so I would assume that he should be good to go in what amounts to a great matchup against Denver. I would suspect he could put together another 40-point gantasy game tonight, making him an excellent option for the price.