NBA FanDuel & DraftKings DFS Picks – 1/22/17
Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!
Pricing is FD/DK
Kyle Lowry (8600/8500) – The easy point to start at the position today is Kyle Lowry, as he is on his home court against the Suns. We know that the Suns play at a pretty quick pace, so this should give Lowry far more opportunities for his usual stats. He can contribute in all five categories, some better than others, but this certainly sets up to be one of those matchups that should end up being highly beneficial for him.
Jameer Nelson (3800/3600) – Nelson has mostly been pretty good, outside of one game where he just looked completely and totally lost, while Gary Harris has been on the shelf. This is another good position for him, as he and the Nuggets take on the Timberwolves. Ricky Rubio is away from the team, and even though Kris Dunn is much better defensively than offensively, I think there should still be enough opportunity for Nelson to rack up enough stats to put together a good outing tonight.
Will Barton (5700/6500) – Barton is pretty much a lock when Gary Harris is out, at least until he hits that $6.5/$7k mark on both sites. The Timberwolves are actually not awful when it comes to “defending shooting guards” but that is a really weird thing to say, as it depends game to game. I think Barton’s style will be beneficial to him in a game like this, and I could see him crossing 30 points today with ease.
Lou Williams (5100/5600) – Lou Williams is heating up again, and especially with how poorly the combo of Nick Young and D’Angelo Russell have been playing, it’s no doubt that he should continue to see a bundle of minutes. He’s got 40 point upside if the game stays close, and it could, but I also think he is going to be a very chalkly play tonight. This could be one that you should run with though.
Kevin Durant (10600/10300) – We have to start to spend our money somewhere, right? What better way than by going with Kevin Durant. He’s a lock for me in cash games, as I think he’s going to see between 45-55 points, and there is enough value all around him that I’d rather just take those points and move on. There’s nothing special about the matchup, just the player in it.
Brandon Ingram (4400/4900) – Ingram is doing a good job lately as he has moved into the starting unit with Luol Deng beat up. If Deng is healthy, though, it will take all of the steam our of Ingram’s sails, but he looks to be on the wrong side of questionable. The price is great for his production, and even though the Mavs don’t move very quickly, the Lakers do, so he should continue to see plenty of opportunities.
Nikola Jokic (10200/9100) – I mentioned it yesterday: that was your last chance, at least in the short term, to get Jokic for under $10k on FanDuel. We have seen his price rise almost $6k in the last two months, which has to be the quickest we’ve seen someone’s price go up. Minnesota can do very little to slow him down in this one, and it should be fun to watch him and Towns battle tonight.
Dirk Nowitzki (5500/5500) – I love these kind of matchups for Dirk. The Lakers are a young basketball team, and I would expect Dirk to kind of try to show them that he’s not done yet. The price is silly for what he can still put together, and he’s almost a lock for me in most formats tonight. I’m going to go out on a limb and call a 40 fantasy point night for him.
Karl-Anthony Towns (10000/10100) – Well, we’ve certainly spent our money quickly, now haven’t we? KAT has been playing next level ball for awhile now, and a matchup against the Nuggets is really attractive to me. I think he should be able to pick them apart tonight, and I would expect another big game out of him. He’s having a really strong sophomore season so far, and it should continue here.
Bismack Biyombo (4000/3900) – There were two guys I really liked Friday night that I was too much of a coward to pull the trigger on: Biyombo and Al Jefferson. Both had really good games relative to their price that really had me regretting not doing it. Even though he will surely come off the bench, I think Biyombo could have a nice game against a Warriors team that loves to charge the rim almost as much as shoot threes, which should give him ample opportunities for blocks. Additionally, if their shots aren’t falling, he has a great chance at a high rebound total.