NBA DFS Picks – 12/1/16
Pricing is FD/DK
Chris Paul (9100/9100) – You’ll definitely want to pay attention throughout the day, as Doc Rivers did indicate that he might rest some of his starters, as he did with Blake Griffin on Tuesday. I would have to believe he wouldn’t do it in what could be a preview of the finals with the Cavaliers. It’s obviously way too early to say things like that, but you get the point: this is a big game. The weakness of the Cavaliers is definitely with Kyrie Irving’s defense or lack thereof.
Patrick Beverly (4400/4600) – Beverly isn’t a guy you’ll normally find in most lists, and he’s not here because I think he is going to blow up or anything, but I think it could be a good idea to get some exposure to a guy who is in a game with a 230 total and there should be plenty of chances for him to put together points.
Andrew Harrison (3900/4400) – Harrison was a guy that I was high on yesterday for which I was grateful, because he had a huge game. His price doesn’t change, or at least not much, moving onto Thursday night. Orlando isn’t a team you need to fear, and I think we should see another 20+ fantasy point outing from the young player filling in for Mike Conley. He looks much, much better than Wade Baldwin, so he should get the most run.
Giannis Antetokuonmpo (10300/9900) – I know it might seem strange to not see Harden here in the biggest game of the night, and I’m not even saying he’s not a good play. I’m just saying I’ll grab The Greek Freak at a discount in a matchup where quite frankly I think they have a similar upside. The Nets will have absolutely no hope of guarding him, and I could see him having a monster line tonight at a discount to Giannis.
Sean Kilpatrick (5700/5800) – Kilpatrick is certainly the feel good story of the year thus far, and an early contender for most improved player of the year this early on. The price hasn’t caught up to him yet, and I think he should find a ton of space to work against the Bucks tonight. He’s a great guy to start your lineups with, as he provides a nice floor and some cap space to build a strong lineup with.
Eric Gordon (5000/5100) – It’s Wednesday night, and I have plenty of time to find out, but I’m not sure how I’m going to handle this game. As of now, I think I’m looking like I’m going to grab high priced plays from other games, and use some cheaper options in this game that are cheaper and stand a good chance at exceeding that 5x value. Gordon is one of them, who should have plenty of opportunities off the bench tonight. He’s priced very well, and I’m think he’ll crack 30 fantasy points tonight.
LeBron James (9700/9300) – LeBron had one of the worst game over the last few years on Tuesday, and there is absolutely no way that happens tonight. On top of all of that, his price feel considerably, making him an easy plug and play for cash games. He will have possibly the highest ownership on the slate tonight as a result of his price. This should be a close game at home, so he should see his usual allotment of minutes.
Gordon Hayward (7600/7300) – Hayward has been a stud in the first month of the year, and I don’t think it will stop tonight against the Heat. It is interesting to note that the Heat are on a back-to-back on the road, so that could complicate things, but I do believe that Hayward should still be able to get it done tonight. The price is fair and the upside is there.
Troy Williams (3700/4200) – If you want to stack some of the big dogs from the Houston/Golden State or Los Angeles/Cleveland game, you’ll need to have some value plays. Williams is one of those value plays. He is going to get you no more than 5x if we are being honest, because he’s not very good. The good news is that you don’t need to be a good basketball player to be a good fantasy basketball player. The time he sees at his price is a plus, and I don’t mind using him as a punt option tonight.
Jabari Parker (6400/6100) – There’s not a whole lot going on at the top of the power forward position with a lot of those guys, in my opinion, unlikely to hit 5x value. They all have the potential to, so they do make good tournament plays, but with a guy like Parker at this price, I have no choice but to start heer. This screams to me like a game where Giannis and Parker dominate together and Giannis ends up near 55 and Parker goes over 40. That’s what I’m looking for tonight, and they’ll both make my lineup for just that reason.
Trevor Booker (5900/6000) – Booker has been very good this year in so many ways. He’s had at least one block or steal in every single game, and most games he has multiple, giving you those extra points that cause your lineups to jump even quicker. The price is starting to get up there, but I will still play him at this price.
JaMychal Green (4400/4500) – I’ll admit right now: I can never get Green right. If I play him, I can guarantee you he’ll have 18 fantasy points. If I don’t, he’ll go over 30. That’s just the way it is. The team is shorthanded right now, so he has all the opportunity in the world, and at this price, he can definitely make a big difference in your lineups.
Rudy Gobert (7100/6500) – Gobert has been very solid with Derrick Favors on the sideline, and he gets another good matchup here against the Heat on a back-to-back. As I said with Hayward, there is some concern here that there could be a blowout, but I think the Heat should be able to stay in it. This is a nice spot for Gobert in tournaments.
Marc Gasol (7000/7100) – Gasol should be one of the bigger stories with Mike Conley out. We’ve seen many times in the past that when Conley is out, the usage of Gasol has gone crazy, but it hasn’t been like that so much this year. Here’s the thing: it’s coming. Gasol is one of the few centers that could finish with a true triple double. The only other one off hand I can think of would possibly be Al Horford. While I am not saying he’ll get one here, I am saying that he is likely to have several huge games while Conley is out.
Tristan Thompson (5000/5200) – Truth be told, if I am going to run with Tristan in my lineup tonight in my cash games as long as DeAndre Jordan is playing. I definitely have some apprehension with using Thompson if Jordan is out because I think that Jordan is likely to play a lot, and that will force the Cavs into keeping Tristan into the game. Does he have upside? Sure, but I am mostly interested in his floor here.