NBA FanDuel & DraftKings DFS Picks – 1/13/17
Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!
Pricing is FD/DK
Kyle Lowry (9200/8500) – I think there are a number of ways you can go at the point guard position tonight, and while Russell Westbrook is in a good position, I think you could get just as much point per dollar upside out of Lowry. The Nets are really bad against, well, everything, so it wouldn’t shock me to see Lowry end up with a huge score in this game.
Ricky Rubio (6200/6100) – Rubio has been playing extremely good basketball as of late, and with or without Zach LaVine, I think he’s in for a good showing. We know that Minnesota is a team we like to target in daily fantasy, but they are also great guys to use. I’m telling you something you already know, I get that, but if you want to go cheaper at the position, Rubio is a great way to go.
T.J. McConnell (5400/5300) – McConnell has been playing some pretty high level basketball as of late, and even though Charlotte isn’t terrible against the position, I think they are bad enough that McConnell should be able to get it done against them. He’s coming off a game where he got to be the hero, and I think it’s very likely that he’ll be in position to put another strong game up tonight.
DeMar DeRozan (9400/8700) – Right now, DeRozan is scoring the most points per game in the NBA in January at 32.2. If he manages to hit his average points per game, he still needs to come up with around 15 points in other ways. He’s been rebounding well, he’ll always grab a few assists, and he’s game for a few steals as well. It’s tough to look past him in a plus matchup, and even though this could get ugly, he’s my top play of the day.
C.J. McCollum (8600/7900) – Right behind DeRozan is McCollum, who is averaging 32 points per game this month. The matchup here against Orlando takes place on his home court, and something tells me he’s going to be able to keep his strong play going against them. I love pairing him with DeRozan in tournaments tonight.
Brandon Rush (4000/3600) – Rush is in play completely and totally dependent on Zach LaVine’s status tonight. If LaVine sits, I think there is a good chance that Rush should be able to eclipse the 20 point mark that he needs to make 5x value. Depending on how things fall, he could end up at 10x on DraftKings, and he makes an excellent play in any format, should LaVine sit again.
LeBron James (9900/9700) – The Cavs have looked really bad in their last two road games against the Jazz and the Blazers, but something tells me that the mistakes they’ve made will be corrected. LeBron is now under $10k on both major sites, and I can’t pass on him, despite the fact that he did just burn us all a few days ago. I think he’s poised for a huge game here.
Gordon Hayward (7400/7000) – I mentioned when the Jazz played the Cavs that it was a good time to roll out Hayward because his price fell and I thought he would be underowned. Well, tonight, his price is still low, and he’s in another matchup I can imagine him doing really well in against the Pistons. If you don’t want to go with LeBron, I think Hayward is a nice pivot at a cheaper price.
Shabazz Muhammad (3900/4100) – Again, this is only if Zach LaVine is out, but if he is, I think it makes a lot of sense to look into playing Muhammad. I think he’s the best of the bench guys to go too, and he plays with such a flurry, that he could end up having a big game even in limited time. I think this game should be fast paced and high scoring, and Shabazz will benefit from it.
Kevin Love (7700/8000) – Love was on his way to total domination against the Blazers on Wednesday night, but the team just fell on their collective faces in the second half of that game. I suspect we’ll see a nice bounce back game out of him here, and we get the benefit of a nice price drop on FanDuel. I think he should be able to handle whatever the Kings put on him, and he should be in place to exceed value.
Enes Kanter (5900/5600) – Kanter is another guy who is just playing completely and totally out of his mind right now, and even though his role is coming off the bench, he has nearly 40 points in each of the last two games. He’s been really consistent, and the weakness of this Wolves team is probably the bigs on their bench, so I can see Kanter having another huge game here.
James Johnson (5800/5700) – Johnson has been a really consistent option for cash games as of late, and I think the matchup against the Bucks is one that he should be able to do well with tonight. The price is high enough that is makes it difficult to play over Kanter, but I think he has a lot of upside.
DeMarcus Cousins (10100/10300) – With as bad as the Cavs have been playing on the road, I can totally see Boogie just dominating tonight. Tristan Thompson and Kevin Love might be good at the things they do, but Boogie is also good at what he does, and I think he should be able to do enough to make it worth using in a lot of your tournament lineups.
Greg Monroe (6300/5900) – Monroe was really fun to play when he was under $5k, but now that his price is creeping up, it is making it more and more difficult to justify putting him into our lineups without thinking. Still, he has been very good, and needing to crack the 30 point mark is something that he’s done with relative consistency over the last few weeks.
Jonas Valancunias (5500/5900) – I think my favorite play at the position tonight is Jonas Valancunias, because he is vastly underpriced and the Nets are horrible at defending the position. The benefit of Big Val is that he has a much better chance of breaking the 5x mark than Lowry or DeRozan, even though he sees far less court time. The Nets typically don’t run small ball lineups too much, so I think he’s safe around the 28 minute mark.