NBA DFS Picks – 10/29/16

It’s our first Saturday night of NBA action, and it’s actually a pretty nice eight game slate. We’ve got some pretty obvious matchups, and some that might be a little off the radar. This was written prior to seeing the results for the games on Friday due to my OCD [if I am not around when the first game starts and I can’t follow all of them, I shut myself down completely]. Perhaps I’ll start a crowd funding campaign to get it taken care of. At any rate, let’s take a look at who we really like tonight.

POINT GUARD:

Damian Lillard – After a terrific game opening night, Lillard somewhat came back down to earth against the Clippers. Even at that, he wasn’t that bad. This matchup with the Nuggest should give him plenty of opportunities to dominate, and as a result, he’ll be locked in as our top point guard play of the day. He’s got 50+ point upside in this game, and I think it should be that difficult to fit him into your lineups tonight.

Kemba Walker – For tournaments, I’ll gladly look at Kemba Walker. He’s been a better play at home through his career, but he is taking on a tough Boston team. I think many might fade Walker tonight, with other point guards in at least decent matchups, which makes me desire him even more in tournaments. He could certainly end up exceeding value in this game, and is someone we should give consideration to.

Ty Lawson – Ricky Rubio isn’t a great defender, and Ty Lawson is just way too cheap. I don’t imagine that he will end up being a guy who is going to go way over value, but I think he should be able to do enough that he could hit 5x value relatively easily, and it wouldn’t shock me to see him go over 6x. The price is right, and he’s someone I will have in all formats tonight.

SHOOTING GUARD:

Giannis Antetokounmpo – Giannis is going to come in as my top overall play of the day, taking on a Brooklyn team that has no hopes whatsoever in slowing him down. He’s easily one of the top fantasy options each and every time he is on the court, and this matchup against Brooklyn is just the icing on the cake. Don’t hesitate to lock him in tonight and move on.

Will Barton – Barton’s usage here is going to be dependent on the healthy of Gary Harris, who is questionable coming into this game. If Harris goes, that definitely does affect Barton quite a bit. I’m thinking he’ll sit out one more game, and this would be an excellent spot to run him out. He should be able to hit value here, and doesn’t hurt your budget either.

Manu Ginobli – Ginobli is very, very cheap, and even though he isn’t getting a ton of minutes, he is going enough that he is able to hit value. He makes a great play if you are the type who loves to stuff your lineups full of studs and need salary relief. Others may disagree, but at this price, in this matchup with his production, he makes for a fair cash game play.

SMALL FORWARD:

Kawhi Leonard – It’s really tough to think about fading Kawhi Leonard right now, and the scary part is I don’t think we’ve seen the peak of his offensive game. This game with the Pelicans should offer him another opportunity to have a big night, and I think he’s one of the guys I have no problem making sure is in my lineup tonight.

Jimmy Butler – The Pacers look as if they want to try to push the pace in 2016, and that is not just going to benefit their players, but it will benefit the fantasy outlook of their competition as well. Butler typically isn’t getting put in your roster just because of his scoring, but it is typically because of how many things he does on the court than can amount to fantasy production. He’s a relatively safe option in this game.

James Ennis – Ennis isn’t a name that is going to either inspire confidence, or make you feel very well about putting him into your lineup. The reality is, he’s going to have every opportunity to pay off his meager salary, though his skill set is limited. He isn’t likely to come through with a monster game, but you could certainly see him hit the 5x value multiple.

POWER FORWARD:

Gorgui Dieng – There are definitely some options at the top of the price range that can be used, but I think I like the mid-range guys tonight. Dieng is a guy that sticks out to me as being a guy who can end up with a nice outing because of everything that he does on the court. This allows him to rack up fantasy points very quickly. The power forward position of the Kings is probably their weakest point, and Dieng should be able to feast on the mismatches. Just to clarify: I think they’ll have Cousins matched up with Towns.

Jabari Parker – Parker didn’t have a very impressive game one, but the good news is that there is still a lot of season left. I’d expect to see him bounce back here against a poor Nets team. The price is right, and he is still a pretty clear number two on this Bucks team. He should be able to mount a nice offensive line tonight.

Taj Gibson – After those two, there aren’t any players that I just love. Gibson is a guy I would look to in tournaments, because the matchup is reasonable, but he isn’t going to be seeing a ton of minutes. While it is likely that his point per minute production will be very high on most nights, if he is off, he is going to have little time to make it up. I’ll give him some run in tournaments, just because we know what the upside can be.

CENTER:

DeMarcus Cousins – Cousins is a machine, and this is a much better matchup than going against LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol. That isn’t a slight against KAT and Dieng, but I think Cousins has a better chance to work through them than the others. I think he’s got about a 40 point floor and a 60 point ceiling, making him viable in any format.

Myles Turner – But why would you consider him when you have a guy like Turner who is highly likely to exceed him on a point per dollar basis, and potentially an actual points basis. The price won’t go up until next time he plays, so it feels like a situation where we want to buy in while we still can. He’s got huge upside in this game.

Jusuf Nurkic – But why would you consider him when you have a guy like Burkic who is under $5k, and capable of putting up a 40 point outing? I would imagine that Nurkic will be highly owned in all formats because of this, and I think it is a reasonable thing to do. He’s going to see a huge increase in price as well soon.