Welcome back to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. Tonight, we get a 10 game slate, which is just about my favorite size slate to play. 8-10 is the sweet spot for me, and with some big money contests on the table tonight, it should be a great night to win some money.
I have begun to keep track of my results here. I feel like if I am making suggestions, I should have something to back my picks up. Obviously, the cash lineup I play may include people from outside this list, as I am trying to pick players from varying levels of price, but anyone I suggest will make it into one of my 5-10 lineups played per night.
One to my favorites!
Derrick Rose – Sometimes you just need to play guys that are on a roll. Derrick Rose is one of those guys. He has been on fire since the All-Star break, and even before his playing had turned around. The matchup against Washington at home represents a good spot for him to do some damage. I also like Kyrie Irving in this same range if you don’t trust Rose.
Mike Conley – Conley certainly disappointed against Toronto in the Grizz’s previous outing, but a matchup against the Lakers at home can turn even the worst stretch around. Conley otherwise has been playing good ball with Gasol out of the lineup, and I think he should have his way with the Lakers tonight.
Tony Parker – No one appeals to me under 5k, so we will go slightly over and grab Parker, who has eclipsed 30 points over his last 2 and gets a tired Kings squad. The Kings give up a lot of fantasy points, so I don’t think there is anything to worry about even if he sees limited time.
DeMar DeRozan – DeRozan had 45 fantasy points his last time out against this same Timberwolves team, and he shouldn’t have an issue having a good night against them this time around. In full disclosure, I like quite a few options under 5k, so I will likely not have DeRozan in my cash lineups, but depending on how it all falls before lineup lock, he could end up there.
E’Twaun Moore – Don’t look now, but Moore is a fantasy relevant asset. Not only that, he has been consistent, except for a pretty pathetic performance against the Cavs a few nights ago. The Wizards provide a good pace matchup for him, and with the amount of minutes he is typically paying, hitting value shouldn’t be tough.
Lance Stephenson – If you are new to this, you might not know that one time Lance Stephenson was a highly producing fantasy asset [2014 with the Pacers]. He has gone through a poor run with both Charlotte and the Clippers, and is now with Memphis. Tony Allen is unlikely to play tonight, and if he doesn’t, that opens up minutes for Stephenson. Against Toronto, he got 22 minutes and finished with 23.6 fantasy points, not bad for a minimum priced player. I don’t think I will play him in cash games, but certainly worth a flier in tournaments.
LeBron James – Think he is happy with his performance against the Pistons and the close loss the team took? I don’t. To me, this opens up the opportunity for him to have a big game here against the Hornets. It is crazy to see LeBron under 10k, especially since he had been hovering between 42-55 points his previous 10 games.
Tobias Harris – Harris is one of the trade deadlines biggest winners, if not the biggest. Stanley Johnson will also miss extended time, meaning Harris should get all the run he can handle. He has gotten over 30 minutes in each of his first 3 games with the Piston, and gets a great matchup against the Sixers at home tonight. He should be a good bet to make value, and will likely be highly owned.
Vince Carter – What year is it? Don’t look now, but Carter is doing good things with the time he is getting. He should see minutes in the mid 20’s, and is averaging just under a point a minute during his 3 game hot stretch. Like Stephenson, I don’t know if I can use Carter in cash games, but I don’t mind him at all in tournaments.
LaMarcus Aldridge – Aldridge is a guy I love tonight because for a few hundred dollars more, Kevin Love is available. I think Love is a good play, and there is a shot I play both in my cash games, but I like Aldridge as a perceived lower owned play in a great matchup against the Kings. Aldridge is another guy who has been a picture of consistency, and even if Kawhi Leonard plays, Aldridge is a candidate to put up over a fantasy point a minute in a great matchup.
Myles Turner – Turner has really blossomed into a great player for fantasy purposes in the last few weeks, once jumping into the starting lineup. This team is arguably more fun to watch with him in the games. He is going to face off against another of my favorites in Kristaps Porzingis tonight, but I believe he should be a good bet to hit value.
Bobby Portis – I like Portis for his price and his minutes are stable around the 23 minute mark. He is another guy who is getting around a fantasy point a minute, and if his shot is falling and the game starts to get out of control, Portis could see his minutes go up, which gives him a higher likelihood of passing his value threshold.
Karl-Anthony Towns – KAT is having one of the most amazing rookie seasons I can remember. With the run he has been on, it is tough to recommend playing anyone else. For a similar price, Pau Gasol is also a good play. He as well has been very consistent. I still like KAT here though, and I think he has 50 point upside in this contest considering he did it against this squad a few games back.
Andre Drummond – Drummond gets the matchup against the Sixers tonight, and it is a good spot for him to have a monster game. He should be able to have his way with both Okafor and Noel, and could be a good candidate to hit the 50 spot tonight.
Nikola Jokic – Jokic is one of my favorite athletes to watch, and can put up fantasy points in the blink of an eye. He put up 45 fantasy points against Boston in 30 minutes, and 40 last night in 20 minutes against Sacramento. He needs all of 28 points to make value, something he should be able to do rather easily as long as he stays out of foul trouble.
Good luck to everyone! Let’s all win some cash!