NASCAR Preview – 2017 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway
Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NASCAR Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!
The race year just keeps ticking on, and it has been an exciting one. Ryan Blaney was able to take down Pocono last week, and earned his first victory.
We also saw that Dale Earnhardt Jr. has completely and totally lost it. If it isn’t him, then he has the worst crew in all of NASCAR. This season has been unbearable for him.
This week should be exciting as well. We are headed to the Michigan International Speedway for the FireKeepers Casino 400 is a two mile oval track. It has seen different winners over the last four trips there.
I will be back Saturday for sure this time with my actual picks for the race, but in between then, I want to look at some drivers who could stand to do well in this race.
Chase Elliott – Elliott gave everyone a good run last week in Pocono, and truthfully, for most of the race, I was convinced he was going to end up winning it. It is going to happen sooner rather than later for Elliott, and it could be this week. In his two previous races here, he finished within the top 5. He’s also managed to gain 5.5 places, which is always helpful. He’s finished second in back to back races here, so I’m all in on him this week.
Joey Logano – Over the last two years at this track, Logano has been phenomenal. He managed to grab two consecutive poles, including winning the Spring 2016 race. He’s managed top tens in all four as well, which makes him a strong option this week. Here is the only catch: he has been really bad in recent weeks. A lot of it has been bad luck, but quite a bit of it has been what he has been driving. He looked a little bit better last week, and I’m hoping that he is trending in the right direction headed onto a track that he has dominated recently.
Matt Kenseth – Kenseth is another one of those “course horses” at Michigan. In the Fall 2015 race, he led the vast majority of laps from the pole and won the race. He’s seen even or positive place differential in each of the last four races as well. He feels somewhat pricey when you see the other names around him, but all things considered, he is just as good of a bet as anyone else to take this race down. He makes a great cash game option (of course pending starting position).
Kurt Busch – Speaking of guys that are just fantastic cash game plays, it’s hard to deny what Kurt Busch has been doing this year. He’s consistently finishing in the top ten, and is always a threat to win it. His only real bad week was when he crashed with Brad Keselowski, but outside of that, he’s been exactly what you would want him to be. I am fine with playing him regardless of where he qualifies. In three of his last four races here, he has finished higher than he starting, including a win.
Paul Menard – Menard has been qualifying pretty high for races as of late, and has really been making an effort to put himself and his team in position to win. He’s a cheap car to roster this week, and has shown some success here, as well as on 2 mile tracks. In fact, he’s finished in the top 20 all four times in the last four races here, and has finished in the top 20 in six of his last seven races on two mile tracks. If he qualifies poorly this week, as long as he doesn’t look awful in practice, he’s going into my lineups.
Hope you enjoyed! Look for our actual picks Saturday!