NASCAR DFS Picks for DraftKings – 2017 Quaker State 400
Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NASCAR Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!
This week, we are headed to Kentucky for the Quaker Steak 400. This is the last 1.5 mile intermediate track until the playoffs I believe. There is a lot on the line here, as guys like Joey Logano need to get a win under their belt to ensure that they get into the playoffs. I have one specific concern I will talk about in my picks section below.
The Kentucky track was repaved again. It was repaved last year and it caused havoc in both practice and in the race. We didn’t see any wild spin outs or anything like that during practice, but we did see a lot of guys wiggle loose, and that is going to continue into the race. There will likely be accidents here this week, but you can’t really predict things like that.
I want to write more, but really don’t see much of a need. I’d stick with guys who have done well here, are starting up front or have solid place differential potential.
4 Guys I Am Playing:
Martin Truex Jr. (10400) – It’s actually really crowded at the top this week, which could be a good thing. I think it could definitely spread ownership out. I think the top 3 ownerships will go to Kyle Busch and Brad Keslowski because of track history, and the guy below that we’ll discuss. Could that leave Truex out in the cold? I think Kyle Busch is a must in cash games, but really with Truex lining up second, he makes the perfect tournament pivot. I could be way off on this, and we could see Truex as highly owned as Busch, but with his recent performance and the dominance of those around him at this track, I can see Truex being lower owned than the rest.
Kyle Larson (10000) – Larson will likely be the highest owned play on the slate. I mean, why wouldn’t he be. They could get the 42 car through inspection, so he’ll be starting 40th. Are we playing him because we think he’s going to win? No. He doesn’t need to. All he needs to do, really, is finish in the top 20. I think that’s totally possible. He was the fastest car in practice overall. There are no huge place differential plays on the slate that have his upside, so I think you need to have some ownership of him. Yes, fading him could be huge if something goes wrong, but I just think he’s way too talented to not finish with less than 50 points on DraftKings.
Kurt Busch (8100) – Kurt Busch is having a pretty solid year and comes in underpriced in my opinion on this track. He’s $8100, and starting 15th. He has four top tens out of six races at this track. Furthermore, he has 19 top tens on 27 trips to 1.5 mile intermediate tracks. Everything I’m seeing has him as a guy who could certainly finish as a top 10 driver this week, and I think if he is able to do that, he’ll probably be on one of the tournament winning lineups. With other guys I liked prior to qualifying such as Matt Kenseth and Jamie McMurray qualifying too high for my liking, he makes a nice pivot.
Trevor Bayne (6900) – I really like Bayne’s skill set on this track, but I do wish he was just a few spots back, more around the 25th spot. Nonetheless, I’ll still have a lot of Bayne in my lineups this week. I think he could get up to around the 12th position, which gives him enough upside to use. The price is extremely fair, and I like him a little more than the others around him in price.