NASCAR DFS Picks for DraftKings – 2017 FireKeepers Casino 400
Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NASCAR Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!
Thanks for joining us today for our NASCAR Breakdown. It’s been a few weeks since I’ve been able to get one of these out, but I am back.
This should be a fun race on a two mile track. Michigan is always a fun race, so I’m very excited to see what this weekend holds.
One note from qualifying: I don’t think Landon Cassill made it out to qualify and is starting last. Well, was starting last, until Ty Dillon’s time was disqualified. He qualified 24th, but will start from the back. On NASCAR’s official starting grid, he is shown starting from 37th, so I don’t think he is going to be scored from the 24th spot.
I would say that this race is best for place differentials, but there just really aren’t too many. All but one qualified, and things feel top heavy, so I don’t think the best strategy is going to be to go all in on place differential this week. There are a few drivers we will discuss, but not many.
Let’s take a look at my four favorites.
Kyle Larson (10300) – It’s hard to not play Kyle Larson every week. This week, in a race he is favored to win, he’s got the pole. He’s showing the most speed through one practice and qualifying. The only real downside here is that Martin Truex Jr. is starting 2nd. If it was just about anyone else, I’d feel far more comfortable. Still, he should be a good bet to lead laps. There are only 50 points in laps led this weekend, so finding the driver that will be able to take down a lot of those could be clutch. Larson could be that guy. He makes a strong cash game play and tournament as well.
Chase Elliott (9400) – Elliott has back to back second place finishes at this track in his only two attempts. He clearly has it down. After a few weeks where he just wasn’t really present, and one week with a bad crash, Elliott qualified 10th. He’s my pick to win this race, and starting tenth could still give him some solid points in terms of place differential. Because of his previous history here, he will likely be very popular, but should be in some of your lineups.
Paul Menard (6500) – Playing Paul Menard can be a very risky proposition, but with him starting 30th, there is some upside to using him in tournaments. One look at his past fantasy performances show a guy who has little to no consistency, but if he manages to get around the accidents that will take place, he could see 10+ spots gained, as he is starting from the 30th spot. I may update this after practices tomorrow.
Ty Dillon (6100) – Like I mentioned in the open, Ty Dillon is starting 37th. He was showing top 25 speed. That right there is 12 free points. As long as he won’t be scored form the 24th spot, he should be in a good position to put up a nice number. The upside is very, very big. He has finished in the mid-teens quite a few times this year, which makes him a strong potential cash game and tournament option this week.