MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/7/17

 

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Clayton Kershaw (25600/12000/13300) – There are no shortages of good pitching tonight while the NFL kicks off. Kershaw has dealt well with the Rockies outside of Coors over the years, so he is our first stop here. The price is high, but the upside is positive as well. He is someone I do not mind starting with tonight.

Corey Kluber (25500/11600/13100) – The only real reason to not play Kershaw tonight would be that Kluber is on the mound. I do not think it is going to be worth stuffing them both into one lineup. Kluber gets a really good matchup against the White Sox who just are not good, and could rival Kershaw tonight.

Jon Gray (15300/7600/7700) – It pains me to go with Gray over another one of my favorites in Aaron Nola, but the matchup is more favorable. While it is going to be a problem for him to get the win, I think he should be able to get enough points otherwise to justify his price.

INFIELD

Joey Votto (10800/4400/5600) – It should not be any surprise that Votto makes the list against Matt Harvey. It has been bad this year for Harvey, giving up a .382 wOBA, 39% fly ball rate, 24% HR/FB ratio and 35.5% hard contact. Votto is one of the best hitters in the game and should carve up Harvey tonight.

Mike Moustakas (7600/3100/3900) – There is little doubt here that someone will touch up Kyle Gibson, and his stats suggest it will be a lefty. His 30% fly ball rate and 35% hard contact confirm that. Moustakas is a good bet to be the one to take him down, and I like the outlook for him tonight.

Brian Dozier (9200/4300/4700) – Dozier is someone that we want to use mostly with lefties, but I am willing to go after him tonight against Sam Gaviglio. On the year, Gaviglio has allowed a .380 wOBA, 33% fly ball rate, 25% HR/FB ratio and 34% hard contact to righties. I will be full steam ahead with Dozier tonight.

OUTFIELD

Kyle Schwarber (8700/3800/4400) – Jameson Tailon has been a great story, but the production has really fallen off this year. Schwarber is a risky proposition, but he does carry significant home run upside. That is what we are looking for here, and he will be one of my top players tonight.

Jose Martinez (8100/2600/4200) – Martinez has been killing the ball as of late, and winds up with a great matchup tonight against Clayton Richard. While Richard is not a high fly ball pitcher, he is not a very good one either. He allows a ton of hard contact, and that is enough for me to play a guy who is just hot at the plate right now.

Giancarlo Stanton (10800/4700/5500) – Stanton against a mid to low tier lefty is always a play for me, and tonight is going to be no different. Sean Newcomb might develop into a nice pitcher, but in the short term, he is highly likely to allow Stanton to go deep on him tonight.

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