MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/2/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Max Scherzer (26000/11700/13500) – In my opinion, there is no point in looking past Scherzer tonight. Milwaukee is a high strikeout team, and even though the park is tough, they will still strike out. Scherzer should end up with double digit strikeouts, and will be amongst the highest scoring pitchers to go.

Aaron Nola (18600/9100/9600) – Sorry Giancarlo Stanton; my love for you pales in comparison to my love for Aaron Nola. While he still has bouts of inconsistency, I think he is one of the more talented pitchers in baseball. He should be able to shut down this Marlins team.

Kyle Gibson (13500/6900/6800) – I love a good wild card story. I am quite confident that the second Kyle Gibson sniffs one of my lineups his streak of strong play will disappear, but you cannot deny what he has done. The upside is there against the Royals, but so is the risk. If he can keep them down, he could end up winning someone a tournament.

INFIELD

Cody Bellinger (10000/3800/5200) – Even though he has not been great lately, we can look at Cody Bellinger tonight. Jordan Lyles is not a guy who will be in this game very long, and the Padres bullpen is not great. Bellinger has huge potential that I will be buying into tonight.

Mike Moustakas (7500/3100/3800) – Like I said above, Kyle Gibson could end up disappearing, and if he does, I would look for a guy like Mike Moustakas to have been good tonight. Gibson has given up a .378 wOBA, 31.3% fly ball rate, 20% HR/FB ratio and 35% hard contact to lefties, and Moustakas could be huge tonight.

Brian Dozier (10200/4400/5200) – This is likely to be a chalky situation, but Dozier against a lefty like Eric Skoglund is a must play. Skoglund has not pitched much but has not looked great, so I would work Dozier into as many lineups as I could.

OUTFIELD

Carlos Gomez (7200/3200/3700) – The ever volatile Gomez will be taking on the ever volatile Ricky Nolasco tonight. On the year, Nolasco has allowed a .393 wOBA, 37.3% fly ball rate, 25% HR/FB ratio and 41% hard contact. There is a good chance for Gomez to go yard here.

Khris Davis (8000/3800/4100) – Davis will stack up tonight against Yovani Gollardo, who has been pretty poor against right-handed hitters this year. Allowing a .359 wOBA, 35% fly ball rate, 19% HR/FB ratio and 36% hard contact, Davis should be able to connect with something Gollardo puts out there.

Justin Upton (8100/3500/4200) – AJ Griffin is one of the most frustrating pitchers in all of baseball for me. I cannot figure him out. His .353 wOBA, 60.6% fly ball rate, 16.7% HR/FB ratio and 37.6% hard contact all scream of someone who should be abused – but he always does well when I try to go against him. I am confident in Upton tonight, though.

 

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