MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/1/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Clayton Kershaw (26000/12100/13500) – He will be on a loose five inning, 75 pitch count tonight, but it is against the Padres, who are amongst the worst in the league against lefties. It would not shock me one bit to see him strikeout 10 in this game, and probably end up over his pitch count and innings cap. I am not saying he goes deep into the game, but if he is rolling, he will not be coming out.

Luis Castillo (18300/8100/9500) – Get ready, because this is going to be the all strike out episode of our pitching picks today. Castillo has huge K upside, and even against the Pirates, it would not shock me to see him rack them up. The cost outweighs the risk for me, and he will make a lot of my lineups.

Dinelson Lamet (15200/7600/7600) – Hey, why not just rock the Kershaw/Lamet combination in tournaments and try to get all the strikeouts? While he has some serious issues with lefties, the Dodgers have shown the tendency to roll over and play dead lately. He has filthy stuff when it is on, but otherwise is a huge liability. That is why we love him in tournaments.

INFIELD

Mike Moustakas (7500/3100/3800) – Now we know what a full year of Mike Moustakas looks like. He has been hampered by injuries for what feels like his whole career, but is a 40 home run hitter when healthy. Dillon Gee and his .396 wOBA, 48% fly ball rate and 17.4% HR/FB ratio should be no match for Moustakas tonight.

Didi Gregorious (7800/3100/3900) – Doug Fister has now put together two back to back solid efforts, but that does not mean I am going to shy away from him now. He has allowed a .370 wOBA, 35% fly ball rate, 17.2% HR/FB ratio and 40% hard contact to lefties on the year. Didi has good potential here, and I want to have some exposure to him.

Edwin Encarnacion (8700/4100/4500) – Edwin has not made it into our article too much as of late, but he gets a favorable matchup against Buck Farmer tonight. Farmer has allowed a .364 wOBA, 35% fly ball rate, 28.6% HR/FB ratio and 34.2% hard contact. Edwin looks like a great option tonight.

OUTFIELD

Giancarlo Stanton (10800/4900/5600) – If there is one player to play today, it is Stanton. Nick Pivetta is awful against righties to the tune of a .423 wOBA, 41.8% fly ball rate, 26.6% HR/FB ratio and 44.9% hard contact. Do not over think this. Just play Stanton tonight.

Nelson Cruz (9600/4100/4900) – It is Nelson Cruz against a lefty with a 40% fly ball rate and 38% hard contact allowed to righties in Sean Manaea. You need to know nothing else.

Alex Verdugo (5400/NA/2800) – Let’s call this pick a potentially wasted spot in this article. Rosters are expanding, and the Dodgers are calling up Verdugo. He has been a somewhat touted prospect over the last few years, and will get a lefty who is allowing a .370 wOBA, 44.2% fly ball rate, 14% HR/FB ratio and 37% hard contact in Dinelson Lamet. He is cheap, and I could see him making an immediate impact if he was starting. He may not see the field for weeks, though.

 

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