MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/30/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Jose Berrios (9000/10100) – I really like Jose Berrios tonight. He has a ton of strikeout upside, and he gets to go against a White Sox team that is likely to strikeout a lot. He has not been consistently sharp, but he does have tournament winning upside, which is what we want here.

Kendall Graveman (7300/7700) – For as inconsistent as he is, he has been strong over a few different outings as of late. He could be taking on an Angels team that will be without Mike Trout again, which is always a plus. He is more of a tournament option than cash game, but I like him none the less.

Parker Bridwell (7000/7900) – On the other side of that game, we have Bridwell. He has shown some upside as well throughout the year, and the Athletics can certainly roll over and play dead. He might be slightly safer than some of the others on the list, but also carries tournament winning lineup.

INFIELD

Anthony Rizzo (4600/5400) – I have gone to Rizzo a few times recently, and tonight will be another one of those times with Ivan Nova on the mound. His .354 wOBA, 30% fly ball rate, 17% HR/FB ratio and 35% hard contact could put Rizzo in the position to succeed tonight.

Justin Smoak (3500/4600) – Rick Porcello has been all over the place this year, and he has struggled with left-handers a lot. His .351 wOBA, 45% fly ball rate, 15% HR/FB ratio and 43.4% hard contact have caused him a ton of issues. Smoak is someone who should be able to take advantage of it.

Brian Dozier (4200/5000) – Dozier has been a lefty killer for quite awhile now, and he gets one of the worst there is in Derek Holland. On the year, he has given up a .404 wOBA, 43.8% fly ball rate, 18.6% HR/FB ratio and 40.9% hard contact to righties. I expect Dozier to mash tonight.

OUTFIELD

Brandon Nimmo (2800/3500) – I do not know what to make of either side of this game. Homer Bailey has killed so many lineups this year, but when he is not doing that, he is giving up huge games. The Mets just look awful when you look at the lineup, though. Still, I think Nimmo has the talent to do some damage against Bailey and will make a number of my tournament lineups.

Adam Duvall (3300/4300) – This is now back to back nights for Adam Duvall to make this list, but he gets a great matchup against Rafael Montero. He has allowed a .387 wOBA, 34% fly ball rate, 16.3% HR/FB ratio and 27% hard contact. The hard contact is low, but Montero should still end up giving some runs and Duvall should be able to get the job done.

Lorenzo Cain (3200/3900) – The Royals have been awful as of late, but the matchup is solid against Jake Odorizzi. He has given up a .344 wOBA, 45.8% fly ball rate, 19.5% HR/FB ratio and 43.9% hard contact. Those stats should play well for Cain who can rack up fantasy points in a number of ways.

 

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