MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/29/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Jake Arrieta (21600/9900/11100) – Arrieta has been extremely consistent as of late, and will get the nod here. Other higher priced pitchers face either tough matchups or bad ballparks, so I think the former Cy Young winner can deliver us the best floor/ceiling combo today. I would expect his ownership to be high, but he should be in for a nice night.

Luke Weaver (15200/8400/7600) – The last time we saw Luke Weaver, he was putting the hurt down on the San Diego Padres, en route to a great outing. Tonight, he gets another strike out happy team in the Brewers. He will have to play this game at Miller Park, but the price and upside make it a worthwhile gamble.

R.A. Dickey (14100/7000/7100) – Don’t get me wrong; I do not feel comfortable going with Dickey any time. The thing is, though, that he has been pretty good this year. He has actually taken the Phillies down twice and that is enough for me at what he is priced.

INFIELD

Anthony Rizzo (10200/4600/5200) – Cool Chad is on the mound tonight for the Pirates. While he is not much in the home run department, the .367 wOBA, 42.6% fly ball rate and 36.8% hard contact show a pitcher that is not exactly great. Rizzo should be able to pounce on him and put together a solid stat line tonight.

Matt Carpenter (7500/3700/3800) – 2017 has not exactly been a banner year for Carpenter, but he should be in a position to produce. Miller Park is a bump for him, and he gets Matt Garza and his .362 wOBA, 45% fly ball rate and 37% hard contact. Hopefully, Carpenter can take advantage of this matchup.

Anthony Rendon (9900/3400/5100) – Justin Nicolino has struggled since coming back up, and Rendon is not the guy he wants to face. Rendon has been very good at hitting lefties all year, and this should be another prime spot for him to produce.

OUTFIELD

Eddie Rosario (8000/3400/4200) – James Shields has been horrible against lefty bats this year. The .422 wOBA, 46.5% fly ball rate, 23.3% HR/FB ratio and 34% hard contact are evident of that. Rosario has been a quiet bat as of late, but Shields has been known to wake those up.

Adam Duvall (7800/3300/3900) – Things are going to be fun tonight, I hope, with Chris Flexen on the mound. On the year, he has given up a .422 wOBA, 32% fly ball rate, 25% HR/FB ratio and 36% hard contact to righties. Duvall can mash with the best of them, and tonight will provide him another opportunity.

Mike Trout (10200/4600/5300) – Trout sat out last night in a good matchup, and tonight he has maybe an even better one against Chris Smith. This year, Smith has allowed a .374 wOBA, 41.9% fly ball rate, 27.8% HR/FB ratio and 36.8% hard contact. Even with his mini-slump, Trout should be able to get the job done tonight.

 

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