MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/25/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Justin Verlander (23200/9900/11900) – I mean I get that Jacob deGrom is on the mound tonight, but he is in a tough matchup even without Bryce Harper there, and Verlander gets one that is more manageable. I expect him to continue his strong play and should rack up a ton of points.

Rick Porcello (16800/8300/8600) – I do not think I have used Porcello since the start of the year, but I might use him tonight. The Orioles are still a team that can disappear at the plate, and in the process can allow a solid strikeout rate to their opposing pitcher. The price is fair enough that I feel I can take a risk.

Chase Anderson (16400/7800/8400) – In DFS, players are far more likely to take a pitcher against the Brewers than they are to take the one the pitches for them. Anderson has actually been very good, and even though the Dodgers can have a potent lineup, the stadium takes some of the affect away, and it does help that there is no Cody Bellinger.

INFIELD

Dominic Smith (5600/2700/2900) – Let’s play a game called hope for a home run, because that is really what you are hoping for. AJ Cole has not been good against lefties, allowing a .444 wOBA, 41.2% fly ball rate, 21.4% HR/FB ratio and 47.1% hard contact. Not good numbers, and Smith could be a decent tournament option.

Justin Smoak (8700/3800/4400) – If you want to take a shot with someone a little more consistent, you could look at Justin Smoak against Bartolo Colon. Though we have seen some good Colon, I do not believe it is the constant. His .376 wOBA, 45.9% fly ball rate, 13.4% HR/FB ratio and 41.9% hard contact should put Smoak in a position to succeed.

Paul DeJong (8800/3500/4500) – I cannot seem to get DeJong right anymore, but the matchup against Jake Odorizzi is a favorable one for him. Odorizzi has given up a .347 wOBA, 45.1% fly ball rate, 20.5% HR/FB ratio and 44.6% hard contact. Hopefully DeJong can get it done tonight.

OUTFIELD

Adam Frazier (6900/3200/3500) – Frazier was a favorite of mine last year, but has not been as dynamic this year. He has been a solid contributor, probably better suited for cash game play. He is going up against Robert Stephenson, who has given up a .360 wOBA, 40.7% fly ball rate, 18.2% HR/FB ratio and 43.6% hard contact. I can see him doing some damage tonight.

Khris Davis (7800/3800/3900) – A.J. Griffin is on the mound for the Rangers tonight, and I really want to use Davis against him. Griffin has allowed a .354 wOBA, 58.7% fly ball rate, 16.4% HR/FB ratio and 38.5% hard contact. Davis could get ahold of one tonight.

Giancarlo Stanton (11000/5100/5700) – I do not care what the stats are either way. This is Stanton, who has been possessed since the All Star Break, against a mid to low tier lefty. This should be a home run tonight. I know Travis Wood does not allow a lot, but Stanton can get it done.

 

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