MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 8/11/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Rich Hill (23700/9300/12200) – Hill is the top pitcher from my perspective today, as he takes on a San Diego Padres team that we all know way too much about. This will likely lead to very high ownership, but it is warranted. If spending up on pitching, he is the route I would go.

Carlos Carrasco (18900/8900/9700) – One would think that things would start to come together for Carrasco, as a lot of his teammates are putting things together. The Rays are a strikeout happy team that just happen to pack a punch. The upside is there in tournaments.

Jon Gray (16800/7900/8600) – I am encouraged by Gray’s last two starts in what has been a throwaway season for him. The Marlins are a solid team, but they are not world beaters. The upside is there for Gray to have a nice game, and the price is affordable.

INFIELD

Jake Lamb (8800/3500/4500) – John Lackey has shown some serious struggles against left-handed hitting this year, and this stadium is not a good place for that to happen. On the year, he is allowing a .378 wOBA, 37.4% fly ball rate, 22.4% HR/FB ratio and 34% hard contact. Lamb might be struggling, but he has huge upside here.

Miguel Sano (8400/3700/4300) – One guy who is horrible against righties is Anibal Sanchez. How bad is it? This bad: .421 wOBA, 37.7% fly ball rate, 27.9% HR/FB ratio and 31% hard contact. I expect Sano to come through big tonight and will find his way into a ton of my lineups.

Wilmer Flores (7200/3100/3700) – Nick Pivetta is absolutely awful against righties. Usually, I do go after Flores when he is up against lefties, but with a .412 wOBA, 44.3% fly ball rate, 25.9% HR/FB ratio and 44.7% hard contact, it is hard to look the other way. Flores could come in handy tonight.

OUTFIELD

Matt Joyce (7200/3500/3700) – Old faithful, Ubaldo Jiminez, is on the mound today, making the Athletics an excellent play. On the year, Jiminez is giving up a .403 wOBA, 36.9% fly ball rate, 27.3% HR/FB ratio and 34.6% hard contact. It should be another big night for Joyce and his teammates.

Mikie Mahtook (6400/2800/3300) – With how bad the Tigers have been, is this a good spot to roster Kyle Gibson? Regardless, his .384 wOBA, 33.9% fly ball rate,  14% HR/FB ratio and 35.5% hard contact still make him a target. Mahtook is a cheap bat with upside, and I don’t mind using him tonight.

Ryan Braun (9300/4100/4700) – Homer Bailey is either going to be awesome or awful, which makes this such a treat for DFS purposes. Outside of his .479 wOBA against righties, there is not anything over the top poor about his stats. This is just not an ideal situation, and Braun should come through for us.

 

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