MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/8/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Jeff Samardzija (18300/9000/9400) – The names on this slate for pitching certainly aren’t exciting, but I think we’ll be able to find some quality options. Samardzija is probably the most common sense starting point, off to a solid start this year. The park certainly helps him out, and even though the Marlins can be a little bit troublesome, I think Shark will make it out unscathed tonight.

Taijuan Walker (14000/8300/7000) – This is a tough situation to be sure. First, the ball park doesn’t really do Walker any favors. Neither does the opponent to be honest. However, with how well Walker has been pitching and how weak the slate is, I do think it’s worth putting him on your roster. He isn’t going to make you feel comfortable, but I do think he’ll be worth it.

Luis Castillo (11600/6900/5900) – Castillo has some appeal because of his strikeout upside. It has been very, very good to start his career. The opponent and part (Diamondbacks, Chase) are awful, but we’ve seen him do it in poor environments to start. Again, this is risky as all hell, but could be worth it tonight.

INFIELD

Buster Posey (8400/3100/4300) – It has now been twice this week that Posey has made this list. The first time, he just got walked three times, so hopefully we don’t see that here. Jeff Locke is an attackable pitcher, and has poor numbers against righties: .351 wOBA, 32% fly ball rate and 35.4% hard contact. It’s a good night to roll out Posey.

Edwin Encarnacion (9900/3600/5100) – Justin Verlander is not having a great year this year. He’s going to take on an Indians team that can put runs on the board for sure. To righties, he’s giving up a .328 wOBA, 40.9% fly ball rate and 40.3% hard contact rate. Edwin is in position to have a big night.

Nolan Arenado (9600/4700/4900) – I’m writing this before Arenado and the Rockies start, but he’s got a great matchup tonight against Jose Quintana. Yeah, Quintana definitely has upside, but he’s in Coors facing a great hitter. I’m going with the hitter on this one, and Arenado will make it into my lineups tonight.

OUTFIELD

David Peralta (7800/3100/4000) – I know we wrote Luis Castillo up, but he’s got a major problem: home runs. Against lefties, it’s to the tun of a 42.9% HR/FB ratio. Peralta is in a good spot to take advantage of that tonight and comes in as one of our favorite plays.

Carlos Gomez (9600/3200/4900) – Gomez has been sending the ball out of the park over the last few games, so why not give him a look? He’ll be taking on Jesse Chavez and his .367 wOBA, 41.7% fly ball rate and 37.5% hard contact. The upside is there for Gomez to do it again, and he makes a great play tonight.

Adam Engel (7200/3200/3700) – Let’s round things out today with Adam Engel in Coors going up against Jeff Hoffman. I hate picking on Hoffman, but still, the 44.4% fly ball rate and 36.4% hard contact are not good to have in Coors. I’ll take some shares for sure of Engel tonight, and hope he can put together a solid game tonight.

 

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