MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/28/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

David Price (19800/9500/10200) – This is going to be one of the riskier editions of our breakdown, at least when it comes to the pitching. Price will be taking on a Royals team that has been pretty hot as of late. He has been pretty awful on a whole this year, but he could find his way through this lineup. We know he has all the tools to get the job done, but time will tell if he can actually do it.

Julio Teheran (15600/7800/8100) – Teheran has been another disappointing pitcher this year, but he has started to turn his act around. He will be taking on a Phillies team that has been pretty brutal lately, unless your name is Mike Fiers. Teheran might not have a huge strikeout upside, but the matchup makes up for that.

German Marquez (13200/6500/6700) – Marquez carries a ton of risk against the Nationals, but he has been putting really solid stuff out there as of late. Typically, we are not rushing to put pitchers up against the Nationals, but I think it makes for an intriguing option in tournaments. If Marquez keeps his strong play going, this will be a great value play.

INFIELD

Joey Votto (10200/3700/5200) – It is highly likely that Joey Votto will make for a very chalky matchup today against Tom Koehler. On the year, Koehler is giving up a .469 wOBA, 47.6% fly ball rate, 20.5% HR/FB ratio and 35.3% hard contact. Those are horrible stats and Votto should be able to dominate this one. UPDATE: Koehler being replaced by Vance Worley, still a plus matchup.

Josh Bell (8100/3600/4100) – One pivot from Votto could very easily be Josh Bell against Dinelson Lamet. He is giving up a .414 wOBA, 50.6% fly ball rate, 17.5% HR/FB ratio and 40.5% hard contact. It is likely that one of the lefties from the Pirates will end up putting together a big game, and I think Bell has a great shot.

Marwin Gonzalez (9000/3900/4600) – Jordan Zimmerman is likely to be another popular target tonight, and with good reason. He is allowing lefties a .386 wOBA, 41.4% fly ball rate, 15.7% HR/FB ratio and 41.6% hard contact. Gonzalez has the ability to score fantasy points in a lot of ways, and is likely to be hitting in a prime spot.

OUTFIELD

Carlos Gomez (7600/2900/3900) – As of late, Gomez has been pretty much horrible, but this is such a prime matchup against Chris Tillman. He is allowing a .399 wOBA, 41.3% fly ball rate, 20% HR/FB ratio and 36.9% hard contact. The upside is there for sure, and if he is in the lineup, I want a lot of exposure to him.

Brandon Guyer (6000/2200/3100) – Guyer was brought in last year to hit left-handed pitching, and we have not seen that too much this year. He will get another chance tonight, as the Indians square off with Derek Holland. He is giving up a .393 wOBA, 43.8% fly ball rate, 19.8% HR/FB ratio and 40.9% hard contact. I will take the discount tonight and spend up elsewhere.

Giancarlo Stanton (10800/4600/5600) – Sal Romano is actually coming off a pretty solid game against the Marlins, but I am not buying it. Stanton has been murdering the ball lately, and I think he will manage to grab ahold of another one tonight, making him a great option.

 

Thanks for reading! Don’t ever hesitate to reach out in the comments, follow us on Twitter @researchandwin or email us at host@researchfantasy.com!