MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/18/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Clayton Kershaw (27200/12700/14000) – Kershaw FINALLY looks like the Kershaw we have known for years, and I am expecting a huge second half from him. The White Sox aren’t the worst team against lefties, but this is Kershaw we are talking about. He’s easily the top pitcher on the board tonight and should highlight most of your lineups.

Brad Peacock (20100/9200/10300) – Peacock had a really strong first half, and will be taking on the Mariners. For what it’s worth, I’m not anti-Seattle, but the reality here is that I do think they are a lineup that can get shut down rather easily. Peacock has shown very solid upside, so he makes a solid SP2 in cash games and tournament option.

Adam Conley (11700/7200/5900) – Conley didn’t start things off very well this year, but I do think he’s a solid enough pitcher to turn things around. Yes, we typically want righties against the Phillies, but I’m willing to look Conley’s way tonight. He cannot be considered for cash games, but the tournament upside is there.

INFIELD

Jake Lamb (8400/3400/4400) – Sal Romano might not have a lot of experience behind him, but the early parts of his pitching just don’t look great. He’s giving up a .416 wOBA, 55.6% fly ball rate, 20% HR/FB ratio and 55.6% hard contact. This is the type of situation you want to target Lamb in, so make sure to get him in your lineup tonight.

Freddie Freeman (9600/3800/5000) – Currently, John Lackey is listed as the starter for tonight. Against lefties this year, he’s given up a .378 wOBA, 36.8% fly ball rate, 24.5% HR/FB ratio and 37.4% hard contact. He’s also been really poor against righties, so the Braves make an all around solid stack. Freeman is my favorite of the bunch.

Anthony Rendon (9600/4000/4900) – Rendon is an oft underowned player, but gets a terrific matchup tonight. Jesse Chavez has really struggled in the past against right-handers, giving up a .371 wOBA, 41.5% fly ball rate, 20.5% HR/FB rate and 38.1% hard contact. I love him in both formats tonight.

OUTFIELD

Charlie Blackmon (10800/4900/5600) – Dinelson Lamet is just awful against lefties. I mean, it’s THAT bad. On the year, he’s given up a .423 wOBA, 50.8% fly ball rate, 21.9% HR/FB rate and 39.7% hard contact. This makes Blackmon an easy top play of the day for me.

Aaron Judge (10400/4800/5300) – Bartolo Colon is on the mound. What else do we really need to say here? He’s awful, and a shift to a new team isn’t going to change that. Judge should be able to do quite a bit of damage here, and makes for one of my favorite plays tonight.

Jose Bautista (8400/3900/4400) – Brian Johnson should be in a lot of trouble tonight taking on a team full of righties that can do some damage. In limited action, he’s allowed a .376 wOBA, 45% fly ball rate, 18.5% HR/FB ratio and 36.7% hard contact. We all know exactly what Jose Bautista is capable of, and he makes a great option tonight.

 

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