MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/16/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Carlos Martinez (21000/9100/10800) – Today certainly doesn’t represent the best of pitching options. None of these guys are very trustworthy, so that should make for a fun Sunday. Martinez probably has the highest upside of the pitching options on the slate, coming in with the second highest K/9. The Pirates aren’t a high strikeout team, but I could still see Martinez putting together a solid game today.

Jose Quintana (17400/8500/9000) – Quintana starts the second half of the season with the Cubs, which should certainly be interesting. The Orioles seemed to be turning things on going into the break, but I’m still skeptical on the long term success they will achieve. He’s another solid option on a slate that leaves a lot to be desired.

Jeff Hoffman (15000/7500/7500) – Hoffman could end up being the top play of the day, except for the fact that the Mets have been battering the Rockies around thus far in this series. He’s shown a lot of upside at times, and I think he could definitely shut this lineup down. There is no guarantee of that, but Im trying to be optimistic about things here.

INFIELD

Anthony Rizzo (9600/4000/4900) – Ubaldo Jiminez isn’t good. We’ve been through this over and over again. There will be some situations where he pitches well, and then there’s times he’ll get knocked out early. Against lefties on the year, Jiminez has allowed a .425 wOBA, 39.6% fly ball rate, 33.3% HR/FB ratio and 33.6% hard contact. This sets up extremely well for Rizzo, who comes in as one of our favorites tonight.

Josh Donaldson (8000/3700/4100) – Anibal Sanchez is another pitcher we should look to go after tomorrow. His stats against right-handed hitting is awful: .392 wOBA, 39.7% fly ball rate, 28% HR/FB ratio and 45.5% hard contact. Donaldson is always a threat to do some damage, and this matchup sets up nicely for him.

Miguel Sano (8700/3700/4400) – Mike Fiers is a guy I like to go after with righties. The hard contact isn’t huge at 31%, but the wOBA of .372, 39.8% fly ball rate and 26.5% HR/FB ratio all go in Sano’s favor. We know he’s got huge upside pretty much all the time, but this is an extra special matchup.

OUTFIELD

Marwin Gonzalez (8400/3600/4400) – On the flip side of the matchup, we’ve got Kyle Gibson on the mound. He’s been solid with limiting righties in terms of fly balls, but lefties are a different story. He’s giving up a .403 wOBA, 36.4% fly ball rate, and 39.6% hard contact against lefties. Gonzalez has been a nice options a lot this year, and I like him again tonight.

Scott Schebler (7200/3200/3700) – Tanner Roark has really struggled this year against left-handed hitting. He’s giving up a .377 wOBA, 39.1% fly ball rate and 33.3% hard contact. Schebler is a nice power hitter, and even though Roark isn’t giving up a ton of them, he’s certainly capable of doing it. I love Schebler in tournaments tonight.

Nelson Cruz (9300/4100/4800) – Hopefully today we actually get the matchup of Cruz vs. Derek Holland. His stats are a joke against right-handed hitting this year: .386 wOBA, 42.7% fly ball rate and 40.9% hard contact. Cruz has every chance in the world to mash tonight and is my favorite play.

 

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