Best MLB DFS FantasyDraft, FanDuel and DraftKings Picks & Tips – 6/9/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Corey Kluber (24400/10500/12600) – Tonight looks like it’s going to be a tough night for pitching. Kluber jumps off the page as being the top overall matchup against a White Sox team striking out over 23% of the time against righties, and not getting much hard contact against them. Kluber is above and beyond the best pitcher on the slate, and for cash games, this is just the way to go. In tournaments, I will still have a large ownership stake as well.

Brad Peacock (15300/7000/7900) – We have a combo of two things going for Peacock here. First, he’s been awesome since being given the chance at starting some games. Second, he gets an Angels team that is not good with Mike Trout, and much, much worse without him. Yeah, they’ll spoil some nights here and there, but overall, with how Peacock has been tossing it, there is no reason not to take a risk in tournaments tonight.

Eric Skoglund (13200/6500/6700) – Skoglund has two starts this year. In the first, he did well, going six innings with five strikeouts, grabbing the win and a quality start. In the second (against the Indians), he got 0 fantasy points, going two innings and giving up 4 earned runs. Thus, he’s got quite the range. The opponent tonight is the best case scenario for him, so I think there is merit to having some exposure to him in your lineups, but tournament only.

INFIELD

Lucas Duda (8700/3000/4500) – This is pretty simple: you play lefties against Julio Teheran. Duda has been very good this year, and should have no issues with Teheran, whom he has a very good history against. Teheran’s .391 wOBA, 44.3% fly ball rate and 37% hard contact rate will be an issue for him, so stack your Mets lefties tonight!

Mike Moustakas (8400/3100/4300) – Jhoulys Chacin is a disaster against left-handed hitting as well. His saving grace is that his fly ball rate isn’t as high as others, but his .409 wOBA and 38% hard contact are very bad. This Royals lineup can roll over and play dead at just about any time, but I think Moustakas should be able to come through with a nice game tonight.

Josh Bell (8000/2800/4200) – Vance Worley hasn’t pitched much this year, but the results have nonetheless been awful. His wOBA is .451 and his hard contact sits at 56%, so, yeah, this is awful. Bell could certainly pose some issues with Worley tonight, and I will gladly buy in on him tonight.

OUTFIELD

Chris Taylor (8700/2900/4500) – Amir Garrett has one great game under his belt, but after that, it hasn’t been so hot. His .374 wOBA, 44.4% fly ball rate and 39.4% hard contact show that he is likely to get dinged up here, and Taylor seems like the right guy to do it. He’s hit lefties very well this year, and makes for a solid play in either format.

Mookie Betts (8400/3800/4300) – Betts has been largely disappointing this year, but here’s to hoping that he can put it together for this game tonight. He gets a good situation going against Jordan Zimmerman, who is falling apart in front of your eyes. His numbers are astonishing: BAD AT EVERYTHING. WOW! Just look at how bad that is. If you don’t like Betts, that’s fine. Just get some Red Sox ownership tonight.

George Springer (10800/4200/5500) – Matt Shoemaker makes tournaments fun. He’s either going to shut this Astros team down or get ripped apart by them. That’s always great. He’s allowing over a 50% fly ball rate and 37% hard contact against righties, which is very dangerous. I like Springer again tonight.

 

Slate Strategy

Tonight is an interesting slate. The pitching options are very sparse, and basically all of them have risk. At least that means that we should have plenty to go to in terms of hitting.

Corey Kluber is the only one I ultimately trust. This could be one of those rare (and scary) nights where I consider going across the board with him in my tournaments as well. The White Sox aren’t good against right-handed pitching, and we know Kluber is one of the best when he’s a full go.

Tanner Roark against a Rangers team on the road is also a possibility. I don’t love it, but the Rangers on the road typically don’t see as potent, so I want to have some exposure there. The strikeouts haven’t been there for Dylan Bundy, but I don’t hate him either.

Like I said, there are a lot of places we can go for our hitters tonight, so we can do a few different things. Stacks are always a possible way to go for tournaments, but on a slate this big with so many poor pitching options, one offs from each game could end up being a possible successful way to go about it.

Top Stacks

Boston Red Sox [Betts/Bogaerts/Benintendi/Ramirez]

New York Mets [Duda/Bruce/Cabrera/Granderson]

 

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