MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 6/25/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Michael Pineda (22800/8900/11700) – Wow. This slate of pitching SUCKS. I trust no one. When those situations arise, I’ll typically go with upside plays. Michael Pineda is just that. He’s got a horrible floor, and a nice ceiling. Texas isn’t nearly as potent on the road as they are at home, so I’ll take the upside here and hope I don’t get my heart broken.

Sonny Gray (16800/8000/8600) – This is the point where it hit me. I don’t love Gray by any stretch of the imagination, but the matchup is fair, as the White Sox don’t typically fare too well against right-handers. Again, we are looking at the upside here and hoping that we don’t get the dangerously low floor.

Jake Odorizzi (15300/7700/7900) – It could be possible that Odorizzi is the safest option of all of these pitchers. He’s been pretty solid thus far this year, though he does have a few hiccups under his belt. The Orioles are an on again off again offense, and I can see them scoring six runs just as easily as I see them scoring one. He’s got enough upside to use tonight.

INFIELD

Matt Adams (8400/3500/4300) – Zach Davies has been trending in the wrong direction as of late against lefties. His wOBA is sitting at .379, while the fly ball rate sits at 33.6% and the hard contact at 32.8%. Those two numbers aren’t as alarming, but they still aren’t something that scare me off. I like the upside of Adams tonight.

Travis Shaw (8000/3600/4100) – On the flip side of the game, we know Julio Teheran has legit struggles against lefties. His .369 wOBA, 41.4% fly ball rate and a 36.8% hard contact. Shaw is the best hitter on the Brewers, so I think owning him would be a good idea today.

Anthony Rizzo (9600/4400/4900) – Volquez is a guy who I will use lefties against. On the year, he’s allowed a .351 wOBA, 35.7% hard contact and 41.7% hard contact. Rizzo has been so good batting leadoff, and I could see things carrying over today. Roster with ease and wait for the upside.

OUTFIELD

Mookie Betts (9900/3800/5000) – WARNING!!!!!! The Red Sox are in a PERFECT position today, so please be prepared for them to crash and burn. All I can say is that the matchup for Betts is great today, taking on a pitcher that has a .443 wOBA, 33.3% fly ball rate and 47.6% hard contact. He’ll be popular, but these guys constantly burn me.

Steven Souza Jr. (8800/3800/4500) – Another guy that I just can’t get right is Souza Jr. He’s been great this year… except when the matchup dictates he should be. He’ll be going up against Chris Tillman, who is just all kinds of bad. The wOBA sits at .396, the fly ball rate at 42.7% and hard contact at 37.4%. Bad things are highly likely to happen to Tillman today.

Khris Davis (8100/3900/4200) – Derek Holland remains a good target for right-handed bats. He’s allowing a .389 wOBA, 43.9% fly ball rate and 42.7% hard contact. We know Davis can crush the ball, and things set up very well for him to do that this afternoon.

 

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