MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 6/2/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Clayton Kershaw (25500/12400/13100) – Alright, it’s Clayton Kershaw day. There aren’t going to be too many situations where he isn’t the top option on the slate when he is pitching, and tonight is no different. I am curious how players will approach this with Jacob deGrom just getting beat up pretty bad by the Brewers, but I’m not going to get off of Kershaw tonight. He’s expensive, but the upside is far too good to pass up in either format.

German Marquez (14400/8800/7200) – Marquez has been all over the place this year in terms of his strikeouts. He’ll either give you three or eight. I’m leaning toward eight tonight, as the Rockies face off with the Padres on the road. The Padres always seem to add a few strikeout to the opponents total, so I don’t see why things would change tonight.

Jerad Eickhoff (12300/7200/6200) – Eickhoff hasn’t been a great pitcher this year, but he hasn’t been completely awful either. The Giants are basically in the same boat. They aren’t a high strikeout team, but they aren’t lighting things up either. He’s got the advantage of being in his home stadium, and while this could just as easily go bad, I will have some exposure in tournaments.

INFIELD

Joey Votto (10200/4300/5200) – Joey Votto is likely to be my favorite play tonight. He’s taking on Mike Foltynewicz, who has colossal struggles with lefties. On the year, he’s allowing a .389 wOBA, 38% fly ball rate and 35% hard contact. That is way too much for a guy like Votto who is one of the most skilled hitters in baseball. I’m expecting a huge game from him tonight.

Brandon Drury (6000/2300/3100) – I want to always have some value plays on here, so that’s why we see Drury here tonight. The Diamondbacks should be able to take advantage of Jose Urena tonight, and after they are done with that, move on to the sorry end of the Marlins pen. Drury comes cheap, but he big play upside, making him a solid punt option tonight.

Chris Davis (7800/3800/4000) – I hate throwing out two firstbasemen, but I will do it tonight as a result of the matchups. Rick Porcello has struggled immensely this year, and Davis seems like the guy who would take advantage of those mistakes. Porcello’s .352 wOBA, 50% fly ball rate and 45.4% hard contact are way too high, and I could see Davis mashing tonight.

OUTFIELD

Matt Kemp (9000/3800/4600) – Matt Kemp is another guy I really like tonight, taking on Bronson Arroyo in a plus hitting situation in Cincinnati. On the year, Arroyo’s .379 wOBA, 45% fly ball rate and 35.9% hard contact against righties could prove troublesome tonight. I won’t be afraid to load up on Kemp this evening.

Kole Calhoun (5200/2800/2600) – Kyle Gibson is not good: .419 wOBA, 37.3% fly ball rate and 40.3% hard contact rate against lefties in 2017. That’s not great, and even though Calhoun isn’t a fantasy stud, I still trust that he can get it done tonight. He’s another nice value play.

Steven Souza Jr. (9900/3900/5100) – Christian Bergman has appeared in five games so far this year and the results are all over the place. The same can be said about the Rays. They might put up 10 runs, or they might get completely and totally shut down. This sets up well for Souza though, as Bergman has shown the proclivity for both hard contact and fly balls this year. Someone from the Rays is going deep tonight.

 

Slate Strategy

Tuesday and Friday are my favorite days to play MLB DFS [followed by Sunday afternoon], but I’m sure you are sick of hearing me say that week in and week out. These large slates are always like a fun puzzle for me to figure out, and today is no different.

There are four top pitching options on the mound tonight: Clayton Kershaw, Stephen Strasburg, Yu Darvish and Dallas Keuchel. Everyone of these guys is in play in tournaments. Like I said in the article, I’m curious how people treat Kershaw after watching another talented pitcher in Jacob deGrom get destroyed by the Brewers.

I’m also intrigued by guys like Michael Pineda, Michael Fulmer, German Marquez, Jerad Eickhoff, JC Ramirez and maybe even Jimmy Nelson. Each of these pitchers offers some danger, but also some upside that could go a long way to win a tournament tonight.

There are, of course, a good amount of exploitable pitchers tonight as well. Kyle Gibson, Bronson Arroyo, Alec Asher and Jose Urena are always guys I don’t mind picking on. I don’t hate the idea of picking on Rick Porcello in tournaments, either. I still think for the most part, he isn’t a popular pitcher to target, but he’s given up some big games this year.

Top Stacks

Cincinnati Reds [Votto/Hamilton/Schebler/Cozart/Duvall]

Detroit Tigers [Martinez/Cabrera/Martinez/Upton]

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