MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 6/20/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Chris Sale (25600/11700/13200) – Chris Sale has been the best pitcher in the league this year, and gets another positive matchup against the Royals. This team isn’t a tough hitting team, and even though they don’t strike out a ton, Sale will swing that number up a bit. He’s the go to play in cash games, and still makes a great tournament play.

Mike Leake (15200/8000/7700) – Leake hasn’t been good at all as of late, but he gets the benefit of being a right-hander that takes on the Phillies. We’ve seen a variety of similar pitchers have success against them this year, and they carry a high strikeout rate to give him an added chance of success. I can’t use him in cash games, but he makes a lot of sense in tournaments.

Amir Garrett (10800/7200/5400) – Amir Garrett hasn’t been a consistent pitcher this year, and he’s taking on a team in the Rays that can mash the ball. They are also striking out something like 27% of the time against left-handed pitching. He’s a punt of a tournament option tonight, but could come through and should be pretty low owned.

INFIELD

Matt Adams (8000/3500/4200) – DFS players really don’t like playing lefties on lefties, but I don’t mind it at all. I never changed back from Bryce Harper yesterday and he went deep off a left. Matt Moore is horrible against lefties, to the tune of a .499 wOBA, 38.5% fly ball rate and 50.8% hard contact. That could mean a big night for Big Country.

Travis Shaw (8700/3400/4500) – Chad Kuhl is another pitcher with some major problems against left-handed hitting. His .423 wOBA, 47.7% fly ball rate and 36.4% hard contact rate paint an ugly picture of his upside tonight. Shaw has been hitting the ball very well this year, and he’s someone I like having in my lineups tonight.

Anthony Rizzo (9600/4600/4900) – Anthony Rizzo has been thriving as a leadoff hitter, and gets a premier matchup against Jhoulys Chacin tonight. For the more part, Chacin has been a ground ball pitcher, but it’s starting to become more common to see lefties hitting the ball in the air. 37.1% hard contact is enough for Rizzo to get the job done tonight.

OUTFIELD

Khris Davis (7800/3900/4000) – Francis Martes hasn’t spent a ton of time in the big leagues this year, but thus far, he’s been smacked around by righties. He’s giving up a .489 wOBA, 53.8% fly ball rate and 38.5% hard contact to them. That has to be taken with a grain of salt, but still isn’t a great thing to see. Davis could send another one deep tonight.

Steven Souza Jr. (8100/3700/4200) – While I think I can make a case for Garrett to make it into some tournament lineups tonight, I also like the upside of some of the Ray’s righties. Garrett’s 40.3% fly ball rate and 42% hard contact show that he can get hit around, and I like the upside of Souza Jr. doing that tonight.

Robbie Grossman (6800/2700/3400) – Derek Holland started the year off well, but he has been falling off a lot lately. He’s allowing a 44.1% fly ball rate and 42.1% hard contact against righties. There are a few on this team I like, but Grossman could very well go overlooked, making him someone I want in my tournament contests.

 

Slate Strategy

It’s Tuesday, so that means we will have a monster slate of MLB DFS tonight!

I feel like those pitching options ended up being pretty solid in the article. There are a few other guys I would consider, but for the most part, I am going to be building around Chris Sale tonight. I have a feeling I am not the only one.

There is little doubt that the game of choice will probably be the Diamondbacks and Rockies in Coors. That is two of the most prolific offenses in baseball getting together, so I think it makes sense to get some exposure to those two offenses.

Pretty much every pitcher under $6k on DraftKings makes for a pretty solid target in tournaments and cash games, which should make lineup building pretty fun for us.

Top Stacks

Cleveland Indians [Lindor/Ramirez/Encarnacion/Kipnis]

Milwaukee Brewers [Shaw/Thames/Sogard/Santana]

 

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