MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 6/14/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Corey Kluber (24400/10200/12500) – Everything looks like it could come up roses tonight for Corey Kluber. The Dodgers aren’t a very tough team against righties, striking out 23.4% of the time and having non threatening wOBA’s and ISO’s. The HH% is a little bit high, but it’s nothing I can’t see Kluber working around tonight. I think he’s the safest bet to work with, and he’ll headline a lot of my lineups.

Dylan Bundy (15200/8600/7700) – I cannot stress enough how much I hate playing pitchers against the White Sox, but I actually trust Dylan Bundy tonight. He’s been solid to start the year [I’ll stop saying this after the ASB], and should be a good bet for a nice outing. The numbers are better for him than Kluber, but Corey has a much higher upside.

Francisco Liriano (11400/7300/5800) – Yeah. You have to love to hate Liriano if you play DFS. He’s got a ton of upside that rarely sees it’s way to reality. The Rays are awful against lefties, unless you count the times that they pummel him. Liriano has been awful awesome against them this year – one outing of 20.5 and the other -11.5. You see what I’m trying to get at here. He’s an option in tournaments only that could pay off… or blow up in your face.

INFIELD

Jake Lamb (10000/4000/5200) – Jordan Zimmerman is bad. This is the type of situation where Jake Lamb hits a home run. It’s not Chase Field, but Zimmerman turns any stadium into a hitter’s park. No stats needed here. Zimmerman is just bad.

Tommy Joseph (7200/3300/3600) – Joseph was a favorable pick last night, but he gets a better situation tonight against Brian Johnson. A 43.1% fly ball rate mixed with an almost 35% hard contact rate makes Johnson highly hittable. He hasn’t done it yet this year, but Joseph is going to start mashing lefties soon.

David Freese (7600/3300/3800) – This one is a bit out of left field, but I could see Freese succeeding against German Marquez. He’s allowed a 38.8% fly ball rate and almost 37% hard contact against righties. I know that PNC Park doesn’t play to the strengths of right handed bats, but I think Freese could have a good game nonetheless.

OUTFIELD

Charlie Blackmon (10800/4800/5500) – So far through this game on Tuesday, Blackmon is coming up empty, though I do believe he will be able to turn things around tonight. His upside is through the roof, and Chad Kuhl is awful against lefties: .434 wOBA, 48.8% fly ball rate and 39% hard contact. I’m not afraid to go back to the well tonight.

Seth Smith (7200/3000/3700) – Seth Smith is doing well for himself right now, and could be in line for another big game tonight. He’s taking on Miguel Gonzalez, who has allowed a .364 wOBA, 39.4% fly ball rate and 34.4% hard contact. That sets up well for Smith, and I think he should be in for a strong game tonight.

Steven Souza Jr. (8100/3200/4200) – Francisco Liriano should be able to get through the lefties of the Rays tonight, but he will struggle with the righties. On the year, he’s allowed a .389 wOBA, 35.8% fly ball rate and 38.5% hard contact. He could certainly take Liriano deep tonight and makes one of my favorite plays.

 

Slate Strategy

Today is another relatively big slate, which should make things fun again. We’ve had some very solid slates over the past week and a half or so, and this looks no different.

The pitching starts with Corey Kluber, who should be able to find his way through this Dodgers lineup. He’s got very high upside tonight.

Outside of Kluber, it’s going to be a guess and check situation. No one really stands out as being a safe option, and I think that is very common when you don’t have aces on the mound.

Of course, Jordan Zimmerman is going to be our favorite pitcher to target. He’s just not good. I’m sure there will be situations where we can use him for basically nothing and have a decent shot with things, but this doesn’t strike me as one of them.

Chad Kuhl could be potentially another pitcher to attack, though the Rockies haven’t exactly shown interest in playing outside of Coors again.

Top Stacks

Arizona Diamondbacks [Lamb/Goldschmidt/Peralta/Drury]

Houston Astros [Springer/Correa/Altuve/Gonzalez]

 

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