MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/20/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Max Scherzer (24600/11600/12600) – Max Scherzer against a Freddie Freeman-less Braves seems like a good idea. The Braves don’t strike out a ton, but against high strikeout pitchers, it’s going to happen. The price might be high, but that Braves lineup without Freeman is just not even close to being as intimidating.

Robbie Ray (17400/9100/8900) – The Padres are not good against, well, pitching. Robbie Ray is another high strikeout guy, and one would argue that his matchup and stadium are far better than Scherzer. I think there are still enough guys that can cause Ray some problems, but for the most part, I would expect to see him have a good game here.

Drew Pomeranz (16000/8000/8300) – The Athletics just don’t strike me as an intimidating lineup, and they strike out quite a bit against southpaws. The upside for Pomeranz is pretty big, and while maybe not as big as Sale’s was last night, it is big enough that we can warrant using him in tournaments.

 

INFIELD

Anthony Rizzo (9600/9000/5000) – Yes, this is a new look here. Quite frankly, I cannot keep up with everything that has not been made public with what is going on with ResearchFantasy and still write these huge articles every night. So, they are getting trimmed down. Rizzo is in a great matchup tonight against Chase Anderson. On the year, Anderson is giving up a .346 wOBA, 45.7% fly ball rate and 43.8% hard hit rate to lefties. This is why Rizzo should mash tonight.

Edwin Encarnacion (7600/4200/3800) – Edwin is way up there on the list of the most disappointing players of 2017, but there is still a lot of time left in the season. Mike Fiers has been getting hit hard and often by righties this year, and I could see Encarnacion taking his frustrations out on Fiers tonight.

Allen Cordoba (5100/3300/2600) – I did mention Robbie Ray above, and I’ll stick with him, but I wouldn’t be shocked to see him give up a long ball to someone on this Padres team. Cordoba is cheap, getting more playing time, and excellent against lefties. That 38.8% fly ball rate and 50% hard hit rate might come back to bite Ray tonight, at least once.

OUTFIELD

Ian Desmond (9600/3500/4900) – Tim Adelman is expected to get the start for Cincinnati tonight. He’s been awful to hitters from both sides of the plate, but he is also giving up a 43.2% hard contact rate to righties. Desmond is a guy that can definitely take advantage of that and turn it into solid production tonight.

Jayson Werth (8700/3500/4400) – Jayson Werth is someone who I prefer to use against lefties, but I’ll make an exception tonight against Bartolo Colon. The old man is allowing a .400 wOBA and 38% hard hit rate to righties, and Werth is always capable of taking a ball outside the park.

Kole Calhoun(6300/2700/3200) – While things are getting better for Zack Wheeler in 2017, I still think we could see him have some problems with Calhoun tonight. On the year, he’s allowing a 37.5% fly ball rate with a 45% hard hit rate. We know Calhoun has some power, and I think we could see that displayed tonight.

Slate Strategy

Typically, it seems when we have these split slates, one slate gets loaded with pitching, and the other slate is left out to dry. That isn’t the case today. We have solid options all over the place, and it makes building lineups very fun. I think you still have some obvious plays that will certainly pull a high degree of ownership, but for the most part, I expect a lot of variance.

The one thing that both slates lack is lower priced pitching. In fact, Luis Perdomo is about the only guy I am really looking at in terms of cheap guys. At $7k and being a mostly ground ball pitcher, he is exactly what I am looking for in my lineups.

There aren’t a lot of stacks that really stick out to me. I know I’ve mentioned it on my videos before, but I am really letting my projections tell the story for me as far as where I go, and I don’t run those until the mornings.

Top Stacks

Chicago Cubs [Rizzo/Zobrist/Schwarber/Bryant]

Seattle Mariners [Cruz/Seager/Valencia/Segura]

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