MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/26/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s MLB Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Prices listed are FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

PITCHERS

Noah Syndergaard (24400/11500/12600) – We’ve got another big slate of games tonight, and with it, a nice selection of pitchers. For whatever reason, Robert Gsellman isn’t pitching in this game, or at least isn’t on any of the sites as the starting pitcher. Syndergaard should be able to handle the Braves with ease tonight, and I think he is my top priced pitcher on the slate. For what it is worth, I don’t think he’s a must in any format, but he is a strong option.

Carlos Martinez (17400/9200/8900) – Carlos Martinez is nice and volatile, so he won’t be someone I really love in cash games, but haven’t ruled it out yet. The price is up there, so getting shelled last time out didn’t really affect much. The Blue Jays aren’t a very threatening offense right now, and with him pitching in his home park, I have no issues at all dropping him into a lot of my tournament lineups tonight.

Hector Santiago (10800/7500/5500) – Hector Santiago has actually been pretty solid this year, at least thus far. The Rangers as of right now just don’t look good at all at the plate, so I think I would consider Santiago as an SP 2, and if you are really a risky taker, could be a nice option to allow you to stack Coors if you think that is the way to go tonight.

CATCHER

Buster Posey (6800/3600/3500) – Alex Wood isn’t a bad pitcher by any stretch of the imagination, but he’s not unbeatable. Posey can hit lefties, and even though this isn’t a plus park situation, the price on him is still low enough that I think we can consider using Posey tonight.

Stephen Vogt (5700/2700/2900) – Matt Shoemaker has some issues with the lefty bats right now, and while Stephen Vogt isn’t even remotely good right now, I do think it will turn around sooner rather than later. His price is still more than I’d like to pay, but I could see him doing well enough tonight.

FIRST BASE

Ryan Zimmerman (9600/4200/4900) – I would have put Zimmerman here regardless of whether or not he was in Coors or not. He’s been a much better hitter this year, and the price still really does’t fully do him justice. With Tyler Chatwood actually giving up more to righties, this seems like a logical play.

Chris Davis (8800/3300/4500) – The Orioles are potentially my least favorite team to use in MLB DFS because they can disappear at the blink of an eye. However, the matchup against Alex Cobb is a plus one tonight for the lefty bats especially. He’s allowing a lot of fly balls and even more contact to them, so Davis is on home run alert tonight.

SECOND BASE

Brian Dozier (9600/3800/5000) – Brian Dozier should be in a good situation tonight against Cole Hamels. Hamels isn’t a bad pitcher, but he does have his issues with righties. The price is up there, but I could see Dozier having one of the best games at the position tonight.

Robinson Cano (8800/3800/4100) – The Mariners quietly scored a nice amount of runs last night, but were overshadowed by the out pouring of offense by the Tigers. With Daniel Norris on the mound, I see a great opportunity to target a guy who has reverse splits in limited action this year. It makes for a strong tournament look.

THIRD BASE

Kyle Seager (7600/3500/3800) – Seager might not be in the lineup, but it sounds like his issues aren’t serious. With that said, I like him for the same reason I like Sano. DFS players can arbitrarily discard lefty vs. lefty matchups and often forget that not only can lefties hit other lefties, but also that the vast majority of pitchers are right handed and we get into a bullpen.

Kris Bryant (9200/4200/4700) –Tyler Glasnow is an interesting pitcher. While he has been shelled the vast majority of times he’s taken the mound, he has also not given up a ton of hard contact. He’s been nickeled and dimed to death. The Cubs are a team that can do that with the best of them, and make a sensible option tonight.

SHORTSTOP

Aledmys Diaz (7600/3200/3900) – Mat Latos takes the mound tonight, and that is good news for the Cardinals. Aledmys Diaz is a quality hitter who does have some issues right now, but I think this is the type of situation where it can get turned around. His upside is far too good against a gas can like Latos.

Addison Russell (6600/3000/3300) – I have a feeling we’ll see at least 6 runs from the cubs tonight. That’s good, despite the fact that their prices are creeping upward. Russell is still moderately priced around the industry, so I don’t mind using him a lot tonight and hoping for the damage to be done.

OUTFIELD

Christian Yelich (8700/4000/4400) – Vincent Velasquez could end up having a huge game tonight, but he could run into trouble against the talented lefties of the Marlins, which pretty much comes down to Yelich. He’s having an awesome season and will likely not see ownership due to being priced high on a Coors night. Velasquez has awful splits against lefties.

Jayson Werth (8800/3600/4600) – I went with Jay Werth two nights ago and it worked OK, but I’m willing to come back to the well. With Chatwood not handling righties well right now, I want to have a guy like Werth who can just rip the skin off the ball. He’s a great tournament option.

David Peralta (8000/3300/4100) – David Peralta is just a good hitter. Sometimes, it can just be as simple as that. Way too often in DFS we micromanage how we build our lineups, and we overlook good hitters in decent to good situations. That’s how Peralta looks to me tonight.

Randall Grichuk (7200/2900/3600) – Grichuk makes the list for the same reason as Diaz. He’s got a ton of power and he can really end up making Mat Latos pay. The upside here is a long ball with multiple RBI’s with a huge score attached to it. He’s a great cash game option to me.

Seth Smith (6900/2800/3500) – Seth Smith pissed me off royally on Tuesday night, managing to not be able to do anything with the baseball bat. Tonight is a new night, so let’s hope that the Orioles can get at Alex Cobb tonight.

Slate Strategy

I might be a crazy person, but I just can’t get over Hector Santiago. It’s probably a trap and I’ll come down on him tomorrow morning but the Rangers just look so bad right now. I think I may go another direction just because Coors doesn’t compel me as much tonight as other nights, but he’s still in such a good spot.

I think Syndergaard is a nice play too. Yeah, you have to deal with the potential of low strikeouts due to the opponent, but I think he can still put together a good game. I also don’t hate Martinez, despite the fact that the Blue Jays might be coming around more than I thought.

In terms of hitters, I feel like the Cardinals could be that team that ends up putting together like 10+ runs tonight and does it at somewhat low ownership. There is a ton of opportunity there tonight with the bats.

Top Stacks

St. Louis Cardinals [Diaz/Gyorko/Fowler/Piscotty/Carpenter]

Seattle Mariners [Cruz/Valencia/Segura/Cano/Seager]

Baltimore Orioles [Davis/Smith/Trumbo/Machado/Jones]

 

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