Welcome to our MLB Daily Fantasy Breakdown! Today, we have a nice slate of Wednesday baseball.
Today will bring the typical midweek dual slate breakdown. We’ve got playable slates both during the day and at night, so there is plenty of baseball action for us today. We’ve got much better pitching today than yesterday, so I think we’ll see some more repetition than the last few days. Let’s make tonight a good one, as there are a number of great contests that are being offered on FanDuel. If you don’t have an account, use our link to sign up for FanDuel.
Today, we will break everything down position by position. If you like what you see, don’t hesitate to follow us on Twitter @researchandwin and let us know we helped you or yell at us for leading you down the wrong path. Also, make sure to check out our baseball research portal by clicking on this sentence.
With that out of the way, let’s move on to the picks:
MADISON BUMGARNER – Things haven’t been good for Bumgarner his first two starts out of the All-Star break. Tonight is a good spot though, as he gets the Reds in his home park. The Reds can certainly score runs, but that will come against mediocre pitchers and lower. Bumgarner does not qualify as that. He should be able to neutralize both their lefty threats, Votto and Bruce, and that rest of the team can pretty easily get shut down by him. I think there is a good chance at double-digit strikeouts, but I can see him giving up a few runs. He should be in line for a victory as well, so he is the clear starting point for cash games and tournaments as well.
JON GRAY – We saw the Orioles struggle against Chad Bettis yesterday, and Gray is a much better pitcher than Bettis. We’ve also seen Gray put together some very solid games at and away from Coors Field. I think this is a good spot for him, as he should be able to induce the Orioles into striking out. He is much better suited for tournament play, and this is a dangerous lineup, but he is a guy I will have quite a few shares of tonight. Let’s just hope the offense produces behind him.
ARCHIE BRADLEY – Now we go dumpster diving! Bradley is not a bad pitcher, but he pitchers in a hitter’s park and is prone to control issues, which turn into bad innings. The Brewers are still one of the worst teams in the major’s against right-handed pitching, and Bradley can strike them out as well. If he is on, this could be a major steal at this price. He’ll let you put basically whoever you want in your lineup. I think there are a low worse routes you can go at a higher cost, so why not save the money and spend on hitting?
WILLSON CONTRERAS– For the most part, Contreras has been rather quiet, after he stormed onto the scene earlier this year. The matchup is very good here against Anthony Ranaudo, who hasn’t spent much time in the major’s this year, but will be forced to face a tough Cubs offense tonight. He should have an excellent lineup spot and this offense should score a fair deal of runs tonight.
ANTHONY RECKER – Recker has been solid, but unspectacular in his time with the Braves. He’s been a better real life hitter than a fantasy hitter, and that keeps his ownership down. The matchup is good against Tyler Duffey tonight, and it isn’t often that we want to target Braves, but this is a matchup I would consider.
EDWIN ENCARNACION – Edwin makes for a very good play tonight Luis Perdomo. He has been giving it up on the year, and Edwin is a double dong game waiting to happen. His price is high, but I would strongly consider building my hitters around Edwin tonight. The Blue Jays should be one of the more stackable offenses tonight.
JUSTIN MORNEAU – Morneau will likely fall under the radar, but he is seeing the ball well at the plate, and gets a matchup against Jason Hammel who can be taken advantage of by left-handed hitting. He makes an excellent tournament play due to his ability to lift the ball out of the park, which is what you are hoping for when rostering him.
IAN KINSLER – Kinsler profiles well against Eduardo Rodriguez, and I like to take any chance I can to play him against a poor lefty. This Tigers team should be considered one of the top offenses tonight, but that can be said most nights. I think Kinsler will lead this off with a bang, and should make value tonight.
RYAN SCHIMPF – Even though Marco Estrada has pitched well this season, I still like Schimpf. He is one of my top tournament plays, as he continues to cost very little, but produces pretty good results. He’s also pretty good about not leaving you hanging with a zero. It’s only happened once over the last ten games.
NOLAN ARENADO – Nolan has been hitting the ball pretty well since his last series against Atlanta at Coors. Dyland Bundy is going to struggle with these guys, despite them being worse on the road. I think Nolan will be able to life one out of the park tonight, and has some pretty nice upside. People tend to look away from the Rockies on the road, making him a nice option in tournaments.
JEDD GYORKO – Gyorko is on pace to lead the major’s in home runs this year based off his last ten games. OK, that is a bit of a joke, but he is killing the ball lately, and gets a very hittable Logan Verrett today. I see no problem with running him in a few tournament lineups. He could very well continue to add to his total.
ELVIS ANDRUS – Elvis Andrus almost never makes the list, but we’ll make an exception tonight against Sean Manaea. While having a rough year, Manaea is able to pull off a good outing every once in awhile. I think he’s in a good spot tonight in this matchup, and his price is very fair. I would lock him in to cash games, and hope he can jack one. Even if he doesn’t, there is a good chance he’ll put together a good game.
JORDY MERCER – If you want to save a little bit on Andrus, I could suggest going down to Mercer. In case you didn’t know, he is good at hitting lefties. James Paxton has struggled with right-handed bats this year, so this is a matchup that definitely does make sense. He doesn’t have a ton of upside, but should have a pretty good floor in this matchup.
IAN DESMOND – Desmond is having his best season to date, and gets another very good matchup against Sean Manaea. I already said all I needed to say about Manaea in the write-up for Andrus, but it accentuated quite a bit considering that Desmond is the much better hitter. He’s very expensive, but he has big upside in this contest.
CARLOS GONZALEZ – I am going to be looking at all of these Rockies tonight, or at least the 3-5 spot. I actually think they make a very nice stack in tournaments tonight and they should have lower ownership. He’s having a terrific season, and is hitting the ball well, and I highly doubt Bundy is going to slow him down.
MICHAEL SAUNDERS – Saunders is also pretty expensive tonight, but he carries a pretty big upside too. This Blue Jays team should be able to put up a lot of runs, and I really like the idea of running some stacks of them in tournaments. He is probably my second favorite on the team behind Edwin.
SCOTT VAN SLYKE – No matter what slate you are playing, it will be important to find some value, and Van Slyke is good value. While he hasn’t hit the ball well yet this year, a matchup with Matt Moore can definitely be one that wakes up his bat. I hate calling shots, but I think he will knock his second home run today, making him excellent value.
MAX KEPLER – Kepler just keeps producing solid fantasy games, and I don’t see things stopping tonight against Mike Foltynewicz. We know Folty struggles with left-handers, so we want to use as many as we can against him, which the Twins will likely do as well. He’s priced fairly for his upside, and will make many of my tournament lineups today.