Welcome to our MLB Daily Fantasy Breakdown! Today, we have a nice slate of Friday baseball.
I’m going to stay away from plays at Coors, as usual, because they are all in play tonight, without question.
Today, we will break everything down position by position. If you like what you see, don’t hesitate to follow us on Twitter @researchandwin and let us know we helped you or yell at us for leading you down the wrong path.
With that out of the way, let’s move on to the picks:
NOAH SYNDERGAARD – I don’t like taking pitchers against the Cardinals, especially at home of all places, so Syndergaard against the Marlins takes top billing for me. I always prefer taking Thor at home, but Miami is still a pitchers park. The Marlins haven’t been too intimidating as of late, so this makes a great pace to target Syndergaard.
DREW POMERANZ – If you want to spend down some, I think Pomeranz is in play tonight at home against the Rockies. Pomeranz is a pretty good pitcher, and the stadium definitely helps him out. He can strike batters out, and there are a handful of bats that are just undisciplined at the plate right now in Colorado. Furthermore, the Padres offense has hit a stride, and they should be able to do well against Chris Rusin.
JIMMY NELSON – If you want to spend as low as I would probably go, I’d look at Nelson. He has pitched well in recent games, and Philly is one of the least intimidating teams in all of the league. I think I prefer Pomeranz just a bit more, but I can definitely understand if you want to look at Nelson tonight against the Phillies.
MATT WIETERS – Catcher is not exactly our favorite position to roster, but we must. Wieters has a good matchup tonight against Nathan Eovaldi. Now, Eovaldi has pitched well for the most part, but he has struggled with lefties, which is where Wieters will be batting. He is affordable, and makes a nice cash game play due to his likely floor.
JASON CASTRO – Castro has missed the last two games due to illness, but if he is in the lineup tonight, he makes a nice play against Jesse Hahn. He will be in a favorable park at home, and has seemingly found a nice stroke in the last few games. The power is there, and he is going to be less and less owned now that his teammate Evan Gattis is performing better and is at the same position.
DAVID ORTIZ – No explanation necessary. He’s a monster facing another subpar righty. Plug, play and move on.
WIL MYERS – This article is mostly directed toward cash game play, as I only have the time to throw out a few plays at each position. I played Myers last night in my cash games, and he didn’t go over the top, but didn’t kill me [I’m writing this in the top of the 7th and the game is 12-11 Padres… in Petco…]. The Padre offense seems to want to play baseball right now, and I think they will still remain low owned tomorrow. Chris Rusin doesn’t look too bad away from Coors, but is still a below average pitcher. We know the Padres are a below average offense that can shut down at any time, but I don’t think it will be tonight.
IAN KINSLER – We know that Carlos Rodon can be a good pitcher, and we also saw that Detroit has some bats that can be very undisciplined at the plate. This could make Rodon a good tournament play. Even if he does have a good outing, there are several righties I can see him having trouble with, first and foremost Kinsler. Kinsler should be at the top of the order and has a great opportunity to put up a nice game tonight.
CHASE UTLEY – Julio Teheran can be a good pitcher, but that is usually against a righty heavy team and at home. Neither of those situations are true tonight. Utley has started off very strong against righties this season, and he should be able to take advantage of Teheran tonight. He could be lighter owned, and if he has one of those big games, that will put you way out ahead.
YANGERVIS SOLARTE – Oddly enough, my top two from yesterday remain the same today. Solarte, surprising even to me, is one of my favorite players. This is another nice situation for him, as he should get some good opportunities to light Rusin up. I’m not expecting double digit runs again from the Padres, but think they could still have a nice outing.
TRAVIS SHAW – Despite another high scoring game, Shaw remained very quite. His BABIP suggests that there is some serious regression coming, but we can’t try to play predictors of when. All we can do is keep an open mind and look to see how he measures up with a pitcher, which he does well against Dickey. This should be another high scoring affair, so Shaw has a good shot of having a nice night.
MANNY MACHADO – Machado again comes in as our top shortstop play, in a decent matchup against Eovaldi. Machado took one out of the yard last night, and while we cannot expect that to happen night in and night out, Machado is both perfectly capable of doing it or finding other ways to create fantasy production.
EDUARDO NUNEZ – Nunez is more of a gut call of a play. He is a guy who is capable of a lot of different things on the field, and finds himself in a good situation again tonight against Matt Andriese. This isn’t a condemnation against Andriese, but rather the skill of Nunez. I think he should be a double digit producer tonight.
MATT JOYCE– MATT JOYCE REVENGE GAME! OK, but no, seriously. This is a good spot for Joyce, so long that he plays. He is a good hitter against righties, and he profiles very well against Jered Weaver. I liked him much better when he was dirt cheap, but I would still pay his salary in this matchup.
MICHAEL CONFORTO – Conforto has been bad through May. He went 0-6 with 4 strikeouts in the extra innings loss against the White Sox on Wednesday, when he was in a very good position again. Tom Koehler has struggled mightily this year, and the matchup is there for Conforto, but the big question is will he try to take advantage of it? I’d probably go tournament over cash tonight for Conforto due to his recent struggles.
GREGORY POLANCO – Polanco has been one heck of a player thus far in 2016. Today, he get’s an excellent matchup against Jered Weaver, that should see him in a prime lineup spot. I don’t mind doubling up on both he and Joyce in cash games or tournaments tonight.
HYUN-SOO KIM – Kim makes a nice cash game play due to his price and the fact that he hits so high in the order. He also hits for average, which is a plus in our cash games. If he can get on base, he’s got enough talent to get him across the plate.
JAYSON WERTH – Werth is a known left killer, and he gets Brandon Finnegan in a hitters park in Cincy, and that has play me written all over it. He, and other righty Nats, will likely be highly owned, and for good reason tonight. His homerun upside is there and makes an excellent play on the slate.