Welcome to our MLB Daily Fantasy Breakdown! Today, we have a nice slate of Tuesday baseball.
This is another fun slate, where at first glance, the pitching is top heavy, which can be good, even with a game from Coors on it. Typically, if there is top heavy pitching, then there are some bad pitchers on the slate. I think that is the case tonight, and you should be able to find value in a myriad of places.
Today, we will break everything down position by position. If you like what you see, don’t hesitate to follow us on Twitter @researchandwin and let us know we helped you or yell at us for leading you down the wrong path.
With that out of the way, let’s move on to the picks:
COLE HAMELS– For me, pitching starts with Cole Hamels tonight. We’ve watched the Yankees struggle against a ton of different pitchers this year, but lefties are certainly what they struggle with the most. Hamels has rounded into good form, so I would expect him to have another high strikeout game tonight. The win could be tough to come by with the team going against C.C. Sabathia, but I think there is a good chance he can get the job done.
JON LESTER – Lester is priced above Hamels on FanDuel, and I am not going to outright argue with you if you believe that Lester is the way to go, as I think his path to victory should be a little bit easier. I just think that Hamels could strike more batters out, and frankly, that is enough to force me to look his way first. At any rate, Lester makes a fine option if you decide to go that way.
LUCAS GIOLITO – In our article breaking down the waiver wire this week, Giolito was recommended as a possible replacement for Strasburg. Well, it has come to pass that the Nationals talented rookie will get to start at the major league level. I definitely can’t advise using him in cash games, but he makes an interesting tournament option, as the talent has been there in the minors and the Mets can be a team that disappear from time to time. I probably won’t have a ton of ownership on him, but it will be enough.
WILLSON CONTRERAS – It probably won’t be long until Contreras is the highest priced catching option in DFS. He is incredibly talented, and it has shown early on in his time in the show. Once again, the Cubs will be a nice target against John Lamb and the band of misfit relievers that Cincinnati will throw out on the mound. I would expect another good showing from this team and Contreras is a good bet to contribute a nice game.
CHRIS IANNETTA – If you want to save a little money but still get a player in a good matchup, I would strongly consider looking at Iannetta. He has been very good against lefties on the season, and Jonathon Niese is a lower tier lefty. This is an excellent matchup for him, and he will carry low ownership due to the fact that Contreras is priced in the same vicinity.
JUSTIN BOUR – Bour gets a very strong matchup against Mike “Gas Can” Pelfrey, who will probably be picked on more than he should, but I digress. The issue here is: are you really going to pay just shy of 4k for him, with so many other options on the slate? It is certainly going to be a tough call, but to me it appears as if it is a solid matchup with a great chance for him to continue his scorching hot streak.
BRANDON BELT – I am tired of writing him up, and him having just mediocre games, but he is going to go overlooked again, even against Kendall Graveman. The Giants can put runs on the board, and they can do it quickly, and I think this is the situation where Belt finally has a strong outing that makes us happy we rostered him.
DANIEL MURPHY – I don’t think I’m ready to commit to considering Matt Harvey someone I want to attack, but he has a definite weakness against lefties. Murphy is one of the best hitters in the game, no questions asked, and should be considered the overall top cash game play at second base today. He is costly, but he is likely to deliver a nice score.
DEVON TRAVIS – Travis is another of my favorite plays when he is facing a righty. I think typically, you look for the split matchups, but Travis is definitely doing more damage against right handed pitching to start the year. I normally don’t write up Coors, but this matchup is one that I really want to focus on, as I think he is set to have a big game tonight.
MANNY MACHADO – Erik Johnson has been another horrible pitcher on the year, and though this is not in a great hitter’s park, this is still a great time to target Machado. He is one of the leagues best and brightest young players, and he is a good bet to take Johnson deep on the night. This game should be a high scoring game with two bad pitchers on the mound.
JEFRY MARTE – Marte is going to have a huge game soon, I can feel it. By time this article goes up, their game on Monday won’t have even started yet, but I have fair ownership of him at minimum price. Colin McHugh is no stranger to the long ball, and has struggled somewhat against righties this year, so I really like Marte’s chances of having a big game for his price.
JAVIER BAEZ– I am always one to look Baez way when he is against a bad lefty, and here we are. He is sub 3k, which makes him a top target of mine in just about all formats as it gives you a nice flexibility. The Cubs are likely to be a top offense again tonight so don’t hesitate to get this young man in your lineups.
JONATHAN VILLAR– Villar is an absolute tournament only play, much due to the fact that he could certainly end up with nothing. For stolen bases, I do prefer him against right handers, but he is still in play in a situation against a lefty, as he hits better as a righty. This is an ideal matchup for tournaments, as he should be low owned due to his high price, and could end up having a nice night for himself.
MARK TRUMBO – Really, all the Orioles bats are in play, but I’m singling out Trumbo as this is the type of matchup that he usually thrives in. Right on right matchups seem to be his trigger, and he has a high likelihood of hitting at least one homerun, in what could certainly end up being the highest scoring game of the night.
FRANKLIN GUTIERREZ– Gutierrez is a professional lefty killer, and tonight, Jonathan Niese is his target. Nelson Cruz is in play here as well, but I’ll take the savings on Gutierrez and look for him to have a very strong game against a bad lefty.
MATT JOYCE – Iwakuma isn’t as bad of a pitcher necessarily, but certainly has some issues with giving up home runs. Joyce is always one of my favorite plays against right handed pitching because he can absolutely own them. His swing and focus is much improved and he is one of my top tournament plays tonight.
CHRISTIAN YELICH – Yelich is more of a tournament option for me due to the fact that he is priced at 4k, and that’s a lot to pay for someone who hasn’t been mashing the ball. The matchup is certainly good, and I think he can absolutely succeed in this matchup, and is likely to carry relatively low ownership in this matchup.
TRAVIS JANKOWSKI – I will probably start my cash games with Jankowski, as he has been doing quite well in Jon Jay’s absence. He is a serious threat to steal bases whenever he gets on, and let’s face it: everyone has home run upside when Ubaldo is on the mound.