Welcome to our MLB Daily Fantasy Breakdown! Today, we have a nice slate of Thursday baseball.
I’m going to stay away from plays at Coors, as usual, because they are all in play tonight, without question.
Today, we will break everything down position by position. If you like what you see, don’t hesitate to follow us on Twitter @researchandwin and let us know we helped you or yell at us for leading you down the wrong path.
With that out of the way, let’s move on to the picks:
MADISON BUMGARNER – Bumgarner looks to be the only “safe” play f the day at the position. The reason he is in parenthesis is because I still don’t trust it. With only three games, I won’t playing in all day formats or early only, so I won’t have any chance to play him. Still, the Braves are a bad offense and Bumgarner is still a good pitcher.
WADE MILEY – Geez, these last two days worth of pitchers have been poor for the most part. Miley is probably the best play on the late slate, because he is playing the Padres. The team hits lefties slightly better than righties, but still not that well at all. The game will be played in the cavernous PetCo field, and Miley has pitched well for the most part in the early part of the season. His price is fair, and you could do a lot worse on a night like this.
JERAD EICKHOFF – Eickhoff is a gut call on my part. He hasn’t been great, but I like him for a few reasons. I think the Phillies are going to lay into Chase Anderson after getting shut down for the most part in the Nationals series. The Brewers hit lefties better than righties. Gennett as opposed to Perez will be batting second, so there is a slight downgrade [argue with me all you want; the team looks better with Perez at the top of the order]. Additionally, Villar is hitting better from the right side of the plate this year, and that isn’t where he is likely to hit tonight. I’m not expecting a 10 strikeout complete game shutout, but I do certainly believe he can have a good game at his price.
VICTOR MARTINEZ – We’ve all seen Michael Pineda struggle, and now the Tigers will be back at their home park. One could say that there might be some jet lag coming off a long flight from the west coast, but I am not very worried. I am a big fan of Victor tonight, and think he should be able to light Pineda up.
WELLINGTON CASTILLO – Castillo had a May he would surely like to forget after a very strong campaign in April. This has caused his price to fall a bit, and that is when we want to jump on the train. Dallas Keuchel has not been pitching like a Cy Young winner, and I think the Diamondbacks can have a good shot at taking him down. Hopefully Castillo can get his bat going en route to a nice June.
DAVID ORTIZ – What can you say about Big Papi? He’s playing like he is 20 years old. I don’t know how long it will last, but I think we are all enjoying the ride while it lasts. He gets another very strong matchup tonight, and these games have been high scoring so far. He’s going to cost you, but he’s proving to be worth it.
MIGUEL CABRERA – It seems as if paying up is going to be the way to go at first base. I like the prospects of taking Miggy back at home against a guy in Pineda who is getting hit around like crazy. The Tigers could go slightly underowned with a game at Coors and the Boston/Baltimore series, so it could be a great pivot.
DEREK DIETRICH – This series hasn’t exactly been one full of fireworks, but there is still a good shot for some redemption tonight. Dietrich is a great play against right handed pitching, especially those struggling against lefties. He’s a fair pivot off Coors, but let’s just be serious: this Coors game is the most promising of the series.
BRIAN DOZIER – Dozier has made the write up the last three days, and hasn’t really delivered. His double digit performance yesterday by no means was bad, but we are still looking for a little more. Matt Moore has really struggled on the year, making this a great target today.
YANGERVIS SOLARTE – This is a nice spot for Solarte. Yeah, it’s unattractive to want to roster Padres, unless they are in an extreme park shift, but Solarte has nice power, and Miley has struggled with righties. We’ve seen Solarte send balls out of the field from both sides of the plate, in the same game nonetheless, so he could be a nice tournament pivot while others go to Coors or with BOS/BAL.
TRAVIS SHAW – Speaking of Boston, let’s look a Travis Shaw against Ubaldo. Jiminiez started off fair, but the wheels have fallen off, and we’ve gotten an easy target back. I would not be surprised at all to see a very high scoring game, and Shaw usually gets a good lineup spot.
MANNY MACHADO – Manny has been fairly quite in this series so far, but gets yet another nice matchup against Rick Porcello. This is a matchup that could definitely get Machado turned around. Porcello hasn’t been horrible, but he’s able to be taken advantage of. Manny is the top play for us at the short stop position tonight.
BRAD MILLER – Kyle Gibson should be coming off the DL to start this game for the Twins. This presents an excellent opportunity for Miller, who is one of my favorite players at the position due to how he can get points. He hasn’t been as consistent as he was at the start of the year, but he is still a player you should be looking at in both formats.
YASMANY TOMAS– Tomas is a nice power hitter who really hasn’t live up to his potential this year. The good news is that there is plenty of time left for him to turn things around, and the matchup is good here against Keuchel. He is reasonably priced so that if you want to go with Bumgarner at pitcher, you would have no problem also playing Tomas.
CHRISTIAN YELICH – Yelich has been mostly quiet since returning from injury. He hits very well period, regardless of what type of pitcher is on the mound. The reality though is that he does hit righties more consistently through his career, and Juan Nicasio provides a great opportunity to find his power stroke again.
COREY DICKERSON – Dickerson had a nice night on Tuesday, and get’s a similar style matchup tonight against Kyle Gibson. He is not reliable so it makes it tough for me to advise him as a cash game play, but he could certainly end up coming through if he is able to launch one over the fences.
MARK TRUMBO – It’s Trumbo time! Rick Porcello is going to let someone go deep in this one, and my picks are either Machado or Trumbo. I’ve said in articles before I am somewhat of a Trumbo whisperer, as most of the time I mention him, he either hits a home run or has a good game. I hope that can continue tonight.
DENARD SPAN – Span is a little off the radar here, and I get that, but he should be in a great position against Aaron Blair, but has just not been able to get things go as a major league pitcher. There really aren’t any Giants I don’t like, and am also hoping some of the cheaper bats make it into the lineup, as they should all have a field day with Blair.