Welcome to our MLB Daily Fantasy Breakdown! Today, we have a nice slate of Tuesday baseball.
I’m a big fan of this slate at first glance, as you should be able to grab pitching options at a few different places, and there are also some nice pitchers to pick on. I like slates like this, as there are always a lot of differentiation in lineups and that just makes it more fun.
Today, we will break everything down position by position. If you like what you see, don’t hesitate to follow us on Twitter @researchandwin and let us know we helped you or yell at us for leading you down the wrong path.
With that out of the way, let’s move on to the picks:
JOSE FERNANDEZ– It has been ten days since Jose’s last start, so he should be nice and rested for this home matchup against the Braves. The Braves are easily one of my least favorite teams to target, because they tend to dink and dunk with singles and walks and they just don’t strikeout a ton. Fortunately, I think that Fernandez is a good enough pitcher that he should be easily to change all that, and get back to his winning ways. He is my top play at the position by a very slim margin.
NOAH SYNDERGAARD – I typically stay away from picking on the Royals, but they can definitely be shut down, and Syndergaard at home I believe is the one who can do it. Syndrgaard looked awesome in his last outing, after a tough go against the Pirates in his previous outing. I think he has as much upside as Fernandez and costs a little less, enough so that it will make the decision a little more difficult to make.
JAMES PAXTON – Paxton is purely a tournament option, but he has pitched well enough that he should at least be considered. The Detroit lineup can disappear at times, and even though this is on their home turf, I can see Paxton escaping with a decent outing. It will be very difficult to come up with the win against Justin Verlander but he could get enough strikeouts and pitch enough innings to make it worth your while.
JONATHAN LUCROY – Lucroy finds himself in a nice matchup against Sonny Gray tonight. As one of the top hitting catchers in the game, Lucroy should always be considered when he finds himself in these situations. He is always a threa to go yard, no matter what park he is in, and he makes a very safe cash game play.
EVAN GATTIS – Gattis gets an excellent matchup against Hector Santiago who has fallen quickly from grace after a nice start to the season. The park is a nice factor here for Gattis, who is killing the ball after returning to the majors after a stint in the minors. His floor is pretty poor, so I much prefer him in tournaments.
EDWIN ENCARNACION– There are very few players that are playing at the level of Encarnacion. He has been awesome over the last two weeks, and gets another opportunity to keep that going against Patrick Corbin. This is a nice matchup for him against a middle to lower tier lefty. This Blue Jays offense should be too much for him, and I look for a big game from Edwin.
MIKE NAPOLI – I admittedly may have a bit of an obsession with Mike Napoli at home, but I think this sets up well for him. Snell didn’t have a great outing last time out against the Mariners, and even though the Indians “aren’t great against lefties”, I think they should be able to hold their own here. I’m looking for a nice game from the Tribe and I think Napoli makes a great tournament play.
JONATHAN SCHOOP – Luis Perdomo has been an interesting story to start his career. He is their long reliever who has been pushed into starting pitching duty. He is prone to giving up the long ball, but has also had some decent outings, so he isn’t a total dumpster fire, or perhaps it is just too soon to tell. Schoop has been hitting the ball hard and well, and profiles to be a good matchup against Perdomo.
JURICKSON PROFAR – Profar has not been demoted back to Triple A since he is playing so well, and gets another good situation against Anthony DeScalfani. He isn’t doing a bad job at the plate, and while he hasn’t had any big performances as of late, he has not left owners with nothing either. I think he makes a decent cash game play if you need to spend up at the position.
NOLAN ARENADO – Both of my projection algorithm, one for assessing just hitting matchups and one for home runs, REALLY likes this game to be high scoring and full of fantasy points. Ivan Nova is the kind of pitcher that Arenado should be able to take care of, and I am always looking for that night when Arenado is low owned and goes off. It usually happens out of Coors and this could be the night.
JOSH DONALDSON – Usually, if Edwin finds his way onto this list, you can be sure that Donaldson will make his way there as well. Donaldson’s play has really ramped up over the last week, and he is a very, very streaky player. That means when he is on, he is one. Donaldson vs. a lefty is always something we are looking for in DFS and tonight, we have it.
XANDER BOGAERTS– Sale hasn’t been himself this year, largely due to the changes they’ve made to his pitching style. This leaves us in a position to consider using hitters against him from time to time. I like Bogaerts here tonight, as many will see Sale and run away. Bogaerts is one of the best hitters in the game, and with a small price drop and the low ownership, you could find yourself in a great situation in tournaments if he has a huge game.
FREDDIE GALVIS– If I was going to spend down at the position, I would consider Galvis. For what it is worth, Galvis has been horrible at the plate, but that won’t continue. I’m not saying he is going to light things up, but he is always a threat for a cheap homerun against a bad righty. Tyler Duffey qualifies for that, and if you want to play a top dollar pitcher tonight, he makes a great space filler.
NOMAR MAZARA – After a scorching start to his major league career, Mazara has definitely slowed down some. That does’t bother me. He sits ina good position against DeScalfani and the poor Reds bullpen, and should be able to navigate himself through the game tonight just fine. He is priced fairly and should absolutely be on your radar tonight.
MARK TRUMBO– Trumbo gets another opportunity to exercise his power against Perdomo tonight, in a matchup that should leave fantasy players salivating. We know how powerful Trumbo is, and if Perdomo serves him a meatball, you can rest assured that Trumbo will waste no time at all removing the ball from the stadium.
JAY WERTH – Werth has been on a roll through his last few series, and the matchup with Scott Kazmir is a good one for him. He excels against left handed pitching, and even though Kazmir hasn’t been a total disaster, this still lines up very well for Werth. I don’t mind him in either format, as he should find a way to get points for you tonight.
CHRISTIAN YELICH – I was very disappointed that Yelich did not make the lineup against de la Rosa yesterday, as I am sure he would have been a great play. I will go back to the well with him tonight against the infamous Bud Norris. I am fully expecting the Marlins to put up some runs for Fernandez and I think Yelich could certainly lead the way.
MITCH MORELAND – Moreland is a tournament only option because his floor is nothing, but this is a great matchup for the Rangers lefties. He has big time home run upside, and eventually this year, he is going to have a performance that will win someone a tournament. It is a good situation for him tonight.