Welcome to our MLB Daily Fantasy Breakdown! Today, we have a nice slate of Tuesday baseball.
The slate offers a pretty good amount of variance, with good pitching options in different price ranges, and some bad pitchers to pick on. This is one of the more fun slates I have seen in awhile.
Today, we will break everything down position by position. If you like what you see, don’t hesitate to follow us on Twitter @researchandwin and let us know we helped you or yell at us for leading you down the wrong path.
With that out of the way, let’s move on to the picks:
MADISON BUMGARNER– Some may look at the matchup against the Brewers and think about it too much. Yes, the Brewers are a better team against lefties than righties, but Bumgarner isn’t an average lefty. Add to that, this will be played in his home park, and we know the Brewers can strike out with the best of them. He comes in as my top pitching option of the day, and should have a nice outing against the Brewers.
DREW POMERANZ – Pomeranz is my second favorite pitcher on the night. I absolutely think there is risk with him, but I don’t think he’s going to give you a single digit outing. I think he should be able to contain the Marlins in his home park. His strikeout rate has been pretty solid, and is why he is worth the upside. At this point, you can pretty much guarantee that Stanton will strikeout three times himself. He is one of my favorite tournament plays.
JULIO TEHERAN – Teheran is priced right in that sweet spot where he can allow you to really load your lineup, but give you some safety as well. He is actually a pretty good pitcher, and his only real struggles will be against Bruce and Votto. If he can get them under control, he has a pretty solid shot as a good outing, and makes for a high upside tournament play tonight.
VICTOR MARTINEZ – Martinez disappointed some people yesterday night when he was not in the lineup, but tonight he gets a nice matchup with Miguel Gonzalez. He should certainly be able to capitalize on the matchup, and I like him to get into double digit points this evening. He is usually pretty highly owned at a tough position, so fading him completely could be a poor decision.
AUSTIN ROMINE – With Jorge de la Rosa expected to start for the Rockies on Tuesday, Brian McCann could end up sitting. If he does, Austin Romine becomes and excellent value option. He has out produced McCann in the short term, and that is all that matters in DFS. He should be on your radar tonight.
CARLOS SANTANA– The Indians decimated Chris Young the last time they faced him, and there is nothing that leads me to believe that things will be different this time around. Santana is my starting point in this lineup, and he makes a terrific cash game play and still has some upside for tournaments. Don’t skeep on the Tribe today.
ROB REFSNYDER – Refsnyder is a great option because of the fact that he gets a great matchup against de la Rosa. His priced jumped due to the game being in Coors. I don’t think he has tremendous upside, but he has a reasonable floor in this matchup.
MATT CARPENTER – Carpenter is certainly pricey, but that is because his production is elite. Doug Fister isn’t an awful pitcher, but he also isn’t someone that should stand in the way of Carpenter having a good game. He is in play in all formats, but I would probably use him more in tournaments as I think there are some options priced lower that should have good games.
JASON KIPNIS – One of those players price below him is Kipnis, who is basically free given the price and matchup. I would expect Kipnis to be very highly owned tonight and he was one of the Indians that didn’t take Young out of the yard the last time they played. He can steal bases too, which is a plus, and he will likely form a mini stack with Santana in my cash games.
DANNY VALENCIA – It should come to no surprise that Valencia is still on this list againast another lefty tonight. Martin Perez will not be able to contend with Valencia, and it should be another strong game for him tonight. After a slow start to the season, Valencia has certainly turn things on in the past month.
JHONNY PERALTA – Peralta is pretty hot after coming off the DL. The funniest thing is he was on the DL for a thumb injury, something that usually impairs a player during the season when it occurs. Don’t tell Peralta that. I expect another strong showing from him today, and he should be one of the best point per dollar plays on the slate.
JAVIER BAEZ– I’ll save you the continued narrative of how the Indians are good plays, but I assure you Lindor is in a good spot as well. Baez is one of those guys I target when he is hitting against a lefty. The lefty happens to be Gio Gonzalez, who has been pretty home run prone in the last few outings. The Cubs are going to be a tough club for Gio to shut down, and I like Baez to have a piece of the offense.
COREY SEAGER –If you want to spend up at the position, Seager is in an excellent position on the road against the Diamondbacks and Archie Bradley. The Dodgers should see a drop in skill from Greinke to Bradley, but it really isn’t as bad as you think. Bradley could break a lot of hearts tonight, as he is a highly talented player who hasn’t fully developed yet. He has good strikeout stuff, and the Dodgers really haven’t been an offense on fire. I would put Seager as more of a tournament play than anything else tonight.
IAN DESMOND – Erik Surkamp can be counted on to be a punching bag tonight against the Rangers’ righties. Desmond is always a candidate to have in your lineups due to his ability to contribute in so many ways. He is one of my favorite plays at the position. Oh, can’t forget about Naquin and Chisenhall here, either!
JAKE SMOLINSKI– Smolinski joins Valencia as another Athletic that is worth consideration against lefty Martin Perez. Smolinski is still very cheap, and has a decent pop on his bat for his price. If he hits one out of the yard, he has paid for himself time and time again. It isn’t likely, but he could still have a good game.
CARLOS BELTRAN – I will gladly look at Beltran today against de la Rosa. All the Yankees righties should be considered in this matchup, and de la Rosa is really bad, in and out of Coors. Coors is a stadium that can give up some home runs, and I am banking on the Yankees to knock a few out of the park tonight. Beltran is a good bet to be one of them.
MIKE TROUT – I always feel weird about suggesting a guy like Trout, because he is kind of an obvious shot at a good night. This matchup profiles well for him, and I definitely think he is a good bet to approach the 20 point mark against Ervin Santana. He’s always tough to fit in when you are playing a high priced pitcher, but he has a ton of upsides in tournaments either way.
CARLOS GONZALEZ – I’m not quite sure why, but I was under the expectation that this game was in New York. I actually usually only mention plays from Coors if they rank high on my spreadsheet, and Gonzalez does. He is expensive, but I think he’ll be a good bet for some nice production against Eovaldi tonight.