Welcome to our MLB Daily Fantasy Breakdown! Today, we have a nice slate of Friday night baseball.
We didn’t put out an article yesterday because it was the NFL draft. Tonight looks like a good night, with a good amount of stud pitchers as well as some good matchups for hitters. If you like what you see, don’t hesitate to follow us on Twitter @researchandwin and let us know we helped you or yell at us for leading you down the wrong path.
With that out of the way, let’s move on to the picks:
Corey Kluber – After getting touched up in his first few starts of the year, Kluber had a very nice outing against the Tigers, racking up 10 strikeouts over 8 innings of work. The opponent tonight is the pesky Phillies. People want to believe the Phillies are a bad team, and while I am not saying they are great, they are capable of ruining an outing. Still, I think Kluber should be able to shut them down, and is my best overall play at the position.
Drew Smyly- While I think Strasburg, Hernandez and Matz are all in good positions, I really like Smyly tonight. He has great strikeout abilities, and the Blue Jays, while a very potent offense, can strikeout with the best of them. I like that this game is in Tampa versus Toronto. I think Smyly could be an under the radar play tonight that could end up winning you a lot of money.
Sean Manaea – Manaea is my tournament play of the day for a few reasons. First, he is very cheap, which is something I always look for. He is playing an offense that likely doesn’t know much about him and strikeouts a ton. Third, he will likely be very lowly owned because it is his first start. Most of those criteria apply to Wily Peralta, whom I used to take down the Squeeze this past Sunday, and Rubby de la Rosa who was the top pitcher last night. I will be buying in on him tonight in my tournaments and you should too.
Wellington Castillo – Castillo has been a man possessed as of late, and after having some less than desirable matchups in the past few days, finally has a nice one tonight against Tyler Chatwood. While Chatwood, had a few good outings, I do not expect tonight to be another other. I like the Diamondbacks to knock him out of the game early and that will be a result of many runs being scored. Expect Castillo to be a part of that.
Yan Gomes – I like to look at Gomes when he is against a lefty, and tonight, that is what we have. He is not overly expensive, so you can get him in your lineup and still spend elsewhere. I think that will be a good strategy tonight.
Albert Pujols – When Colby Lewis is on the mound, you need to pay attention to the opponent. Tonight, that is the Angels. Pujols has not lost his power, and I expect him to dismantle Lewis tonight en-route to a big outing.
Chris Carter – Carter constantly falls under the radar, and is one of my favorite plays tonight. Adam Conley is the type of pitcher that Carter should eat up. He makes a great tournament option because he has a big upside, and really is cash game playable as well.
Ian Kinsler – Phil Hughes is another guy I am going to be targeting tonight. While the Twins play better at home, that doesn’t necessarily translate down to the pitching. Kinsler is off to a great start this year, and is going to be locked in to many of my lineups today.
Neil Walker – Don’t look now, but Neil Walker is about to have ten homeruns. I think it will happen by the end of April. Tonight presents a good opportunity against Jake Peavy. His price continues to creep up, but with his power streak going strong, there is no reason to back off now.
Nolan Arenado – It’s a day ending in y, so I am here to recommend playing Arenado. Ray isn’t a horrible pitcher, and actually stands a decent chance at shutting this lineup down, as they do not hit lefties well. Nolan is certainly an exception, and it is possible for both players to have good games and not affecting one another. I probably like him more in tournaments than cash, but can’t blame you either way.
Todd Frazier– Frazier is having a very nice ten game stretch, including hitting four home runs in that period. The matchup against Mike Wright is favorable for him, and I am looking for him to have another good outing tonight.
Corey Seager – Cesar Vargas is not going to be able to hold back this Dodger offense tonight, and Seager, hitting at the two slot, will have a great shot at many at bats and potential production. I think he will leave the yard tonight as well. I’ll have him in a lot of my lineups.
Jean Segura– I like the Arizona bats tonight, and Segura batting leadoff is one of them. He has power and speed, making him an ideal fit for your lineups. I think he is both cash game and tournament playable.
Mike Trout – I’ve already highlighted the fact that I want to target Colby Lewis tonight. The weather in Texas does hold the possibility for some rain and winds blowing in, but honestly, I don’t really care. Mike Trout seems to be trending in the right direction, and I love this matchup for him tonight. My gut tells me that tonight is going to be his first big game of the year, and you won’t want to be on the wrong side of that.
Giancarlo Stanton – Stanton has been great over the past five games, and there is no reason that should stop tonight against Milwaukee. I think there is a high probability he hits a home run tonight, and should definitely be on your radar tonight.
Miguel Sano – Sano somehow only has three homeruns, and I think that will be changing soon. He has been doing very well over his last ten games, and is rounding into form. I like him to have a big outing tonight and could see one leave the yard.
Ryan Braun – I’m a big fan of Braun tonight, and will have him in a lot of my lineups. He is getting a bad lefty at home, and that is a recipe for fantasy success. He should be heavily owned, but might be a little lower than expected with Trout and Stanton also in good matchups.
Domingo Santana– If you want to stay in that same matchup, at a much lower cost, Santana could be your guy. He has been leading off, and he has some power as well. I think he could be in for a nice game tonight and gives you a good deal of salary relief.