CFL DFS Picks for DraftKings – 2017 Week 3
Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s CFL Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!
Unfortunately, I can’t go in depth like I did with last week’s edition, as the Fourth of July holiday put me way behind on what I needed to do.
Week 2 was another very good week for me, as I followed up my second place finish from week 1 with a top 5 performance in week 2. That was the first week I used our projection set and a few other pieces of our soon to be premium package. I’ll be basing my picks off of those projections as well, so I hope they work out as well for you as they have for me.
The only really big piece of strategy I want to go out of my way to mention this week is that I don’t think I would be afraid to leave a decent amount of money on the table when building lineups. While some players in good positions are priced up, a few who remain in good positions are not. Keeping money on the table is always one strategy that is a differentiator.
Bo Levi Mitchell (10800) – It’s not too often that Bo Levi Mitchell won’t be the top option on the slate. He’s a great quarterback that seems to get better every game. Through two games, he hasn’t had one of those “wow” games yet – something I thought he was going to have last week, but the offense looked a step off. This week, he visits a Winnipeg team that just gave up a ton of yards in their first game of the season. This is a potent offense, and if you are spending up at the position, especially in cash games, this is the guy to go with.
Matt Nichols (8600) – So why not Kevin Glenn? Well, first, we’ve only seen Hamilton in action once so far this year, and there is no guarantee that things will turn out the same way they did against Toronto. Second, I do think he’s going to see high ownership. I’ll have some exposure to him, but I really like Nichols more. To start the year, Calgary has allowed over 360 yards in the air, both times to Trevor Harris. The Blue Bombers have a nice receiving unit, and they can certainly pose problems just like the Red Blacks did. I’m setting my expectations at 300 yards and two touchdowns, but wouldn’t be shocked to see more.
Jeremiah Johnson (7400) – Johnson is always worth a look in your games, especially cash games. He’s a special talent that is no longer dealing with another back stealing his touches. His opponent this week, the Montreal Alouettes, are allowing 91.5 yards on the ground. OK, I get it. It’s two games and all that. We’ve seen what he’s been doing while the BC passing offense is struggling, and if they can get going, that only means more for him. He’s going to be in a lot of my lineups.
Tyrell Sutton (6200) – That ridiculous call that took back Sutton’s touchdown last week cost me about a grand. The officiating to start the year here has been questionable at best. Nonetheless, Sutton looked very good running the ball, and gets to take on a BC team that should give him plenty of holes to run through. There is definitely upside here, and you’ll get him at a lower ownership than Johnson.
Brad Sinopli (6800) – I’m sure the first thing you see is that we are absent any expensive receivers. I get your caution. I mean, after all, most weeks and in most sports, we are wanting to use all the salary we can get, because that means we build the best possible lineup. Well, that might not always be the case. I equate this week in the CFL to Daytona/Talladega in NASCAR. You are typically leaving a ton of money on the table in those sports and playing for place differential because half the field will be involved in wrecks. If you can pick the right low priced, high upside plays, you win BIG. I’m not so sure things in the CFL are different. You’ve got multiple players who are still dirt cheap with high upside. Sinpoli is one of them. Discounting the SSK players, because Hamilton only has one game in the books where they gave up over 500 passing yards, Sinpoli draws one of the best matchups on the board. Ottawa is highly likely to throw a lot this week, and I think 100 yards and 5-7 catches isn’t out of the question. If he gets into the endzone, he’s going to be a monster play.
Lemar Durant (4700) – Yes, I think Marquay McDaniel could have a big week. There is no question about that. Perhaps, as long as DeVaris Daniels misses another game, teams may stick extra coverage on him and let guys like Durant beat them. Through the first two games of the year, he has shown that he can. He’s been very reliable for Bo Levi Mitchell, and I really don’t see a reason why he doesn’t end up continuing that trend again this week.
Nic Demski (4300) – I wrote up Nic Demski last week and he was a monster at this price. AT THIS PRICE. Yes, despite the fact that he’s put together two great games to open the season, he’s still $4300. He’s averaged 7 receptions, 84.5 yards and half a touchdown, plus he returns punts. He’s been Kevin Glenn’s favorite target and that means a ton considering that this is Glenn’s first year with the team. I am expecting a similar stat line to what I listed above, and anything above that, which certainly could be possible, is icing on the cake.
BC Lions (4800) – I think the popular play this week is going to be the Saskatchewan RoughRiders, because after all, Hamilton is awful (1 game sample size). That mentality in itself is enough for me to be willing to move off of them altogether. Instead, I’ll stick with one of my favorites from last week, the BC Lions. They have the upside for return scores with Chris Rainey, and they as well looked pretty solid all around against Toronto. In my opinion, I find Toronto more threatening than Montreal, so we could see another good game from BC this week.